NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	82		Excitement	8.3 [213]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): +18.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Comeback	6.5 [159]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -45.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Seraphin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	11	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.12	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.02	10	64%	0.04	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Nene	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	8	50%	-0.04	7	-0.24	8	75%	-0.03
John Wall	-0.46	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.46	-0.07	-0.38	0.01	15	54%	-0.14	6	-0.32	5	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.17	0.00	12	50%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.08	11	64%	-0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.07	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	25%	-0.10	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.15	0.01	15	37%	-0.18	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	26.0	14.8	27.3	2.2	36.6	132.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -5.7%

MIN +11.1%

WAS -2.8%

MIN +54.2%

WAS -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	17.0	15.4	88.2	94.6	104.1
season	15.1	15.6		98.8	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		103.4	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.8	16.4	11.2	15.8	14.2
MIN	16.9	16.4	17.6	17.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	22	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-8	11	14.6	14.1	0.52	20.0	16.0	4.01
A.J. Price	38	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	4	-13	14.8	13.8	1.01	16.8	17.0	-0.19
Emeka Okafor	66	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-11	17	13.8	15.1	-1.29	16.7	17.5	-0.80
Garrett Temple	12	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	1	-7	13.2	14.3	-1.18	15.9	17.1	-1.20
Jan Vesely	16	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	2	-9	13.9	14.3	-0.38	16.0	17.2	-1.17
Trevor Booker	11	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	1	-7	18.4	13.6	4.73	16.2	17.0	-0.85
John Wall	76	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	13.8	15.8	-1.99	16.9	17.2	-0.26
Martell Webster	81	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-7	9	14.2	14.1	0.13	17.3	14.8	2.44
Nene	69	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	-1	-3	13.9	15.0	-1.03	16.7	17.6	-0.89
Trevor Ariza	74	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	0	-5	14.3	13.7	0.64	16.7	17.7	-0.95

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	73	73	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.53	15	-10	25	16.5	18.9	-2.44	14.5	13.1	1.39
Derrick Williams	70	71	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-3	11	16.7	17.8	-1.13	14.1	14.6	-0.58
Dante Cunningham	41	41	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-1	7	16.9	17.0	-0.19	15.1	13.5	1.57
Jose Juan Barea	43	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	0	5	18.1	15.9	2.22	14.5	13.9	0.52
Luke Ridnour	73	73	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	9	-13	16.8	17.5	-0.72	13.5	16.6	-3.07
Mickael Gelabale	49	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	5	-5	15.9	18.1	-2.22	13.9	14.5	-0.52
Greg Stiemsma	44	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	17.2	16.7	0.52	13.0	15.2	-2.26
Alexey Shved	38	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	6	-7	18.2	16.1	2.14	14.8	13.7	1.15
Chris Johnson	29	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.17	0	5	-5	17.3	16.8	0.57	15.0	13.8	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.38,0.3,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.68,0.79,0.67,0.58,1	91.6%
BOS 100, CHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.66,0.47,0.88,0.71,0.58,1	90.4%
NOH 76, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,1	89.8%