NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	8.0 [241]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (CHI): +46.4%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	2.5 [227]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (BOS): -16.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.15	-0.01	9	64%	0.22	0	0.00	7	100%	0.11
Walter McCarty	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	4	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.01	28	56%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	16	57%	0.13	3	-0.15	10	70%	0.03
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	5	17%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.46	0.46	0.16	0.31	0.00	8	112%	0.52	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.09	0.20	0.00	14	68%	0.31	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	11	77%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.00	4	60%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	78%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Norman Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	5	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	0.03	-0.03	17	34%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	24.2	15.5	25.2	2.4	33.0	128.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +93.4%

BOS -40.2%

BOS -2.5%

CHI +2.7%

BOS -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	16.2	15.6	112.4	119.3	102.3
season	15.0	15.6		100.9	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	16.7	15.3	18.7	16.3
CHI	13.8	15.3	17.5	19.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	30	32	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.01	7	-12	19	16.2	16.4	-0.16	16.3	16.2	0.07
Vitaly Potapenko	8	7	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-10	15	17.5	16.2	1.31	16.6	16.2	0.36
Eric Williams	53	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-4	3	15.6	17.3	-1.64	15.6	17.1	-1.57
Tony Battie	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-1	-3	16.9	15.4	1.58	16.5	15.8	0.68
Rodney Rogers	39	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	15.7	16.7	-1.00	16.5	16.0	0.49
Erick Strickland	45	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-4	3	16.9	15.7	1.27	16.7	15.7	1.00
Paul Pierce	78	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	6	-17	16.3	16.5	-0.28	16.5	14.4	2.07
Kenny Anderson	61	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	4	-13	16.5	15.9	0.65	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Antoine Walker	78	77	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.39	-13	8	-21	16.0	18.3	-2.25	15.9	18.7	-2.84

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	38	39	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-4	13	17.7	15.1	2.54	17.9	15.1	2.84
Marcus Fizer	40	41	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.27	10	-5	15	17.3	15.3	2.04	18.3	14.6	3.64
Jalen Rose	65	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.44	4	1	3	15.8	17.3	-1.50	15.3	18.9	-3.64
Fred Hoiberg	30	31	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	-4	13	17.0	15.8	1.21	18.6	15.1	3.59
Tyson Chandler	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	8	-11	16.1	16.4	-0.31	14.8	18.8	-4.04
Trenton Hassell	73	74	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	3	-1	16.2	16.4	-0.19	16.3	16.4	-0.12
Eddy Curry	56	57	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	7	-9	15.2	18.0	-2.82	15.7	17.4	-1.67
Dalibor Bagaric	22	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	2	1	17.5	15.8	1.74	18.7	15.5	3.17
Norman Richardson	10	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	15.7	16.3	-0.61	14.1	16.6	-2.48
Jamal Crawford	50	50	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	9	-13	15.1	17.7	-2.54	15.1	17.9	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.66,0.47,0.88,0.71,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.86,0.85,1	90.6%
WAS 82, MIN 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.38,0.3,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.58,1	90.4%
HOU 100, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.85,0.84,0.84,1	90.0%