NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	7.9 [246]		MVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): +32.0%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	2.4 [622]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -24.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.18	0.11	0.01	5	100%	0.29	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Luis Scola	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.00	9	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Von Wafer	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.06,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	17	49%	0.21	1	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	92%	0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.06	0.08	-0.00	10	45%	0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	0.02	-0.13	0.00	12	62%	0.05	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	13	37%	-0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.32	0.32	0.04	0.28	0.00	10	65%	0.38	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.09	0.02	16	81%	0.39	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.02	13	57%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.20	-0.02	16	44%	0.07	3	-0.32	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	28.1	15.7	26.0	1.8	30.1	131.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +72.6%

HOU -10.4%

HOU -8.8%

HOU -3.0%

HOU -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.8	15.5	112.4	118.4	106.4
season	16.3	15.8		105.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.2		106.0	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.3	19.2	19.1	15.9	17.0
ATL	13.9	14.1	16.9	18.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	30	31	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.08	2	-5	7	20.0	15.4	4.54	17.1	15.0	2.13
Brent Barry	46	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	17.1	16.8	0.27	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Charles Hayes	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	21.2	16.5	4.72	15.4	15.8	-0.42
Von Wafer	77	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-8	13	16.3	21.3	-5.06	15.7	16.1	-0.37
Rafer Alston	82	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-8	13	16.4	23.0	-6.56	15.9	14.7	1.11
Luther Head	22	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	10	-23	19.2	16.2	3.02	15.0	16.0	-0.95
Luis Scola	75	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-4	5	16.3	20.2	-3.87	15.8	15.7	0.03
Aaron Brooks	40	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	1	-5	17.9	16.2	1.76	17.0	14.7	2.26
Yao Ming	65	63	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.52	-5	2	-7	15.7	20.2	-4.51	15.1	17.4	-2.29

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	33	34	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-9	21	15.6	15.9	-0.25	16.1	17.5	-1.36
Ronald Murray	64	66	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-12	27	15.9	15.4	0.50	17.1	16.5	0.64
Mike Bibby	59	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.53	1	2	-1	16.0	15.2	0.80	16.6	17.7	-1.06
Joe Johnson	72	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	1	1	15.9	15.1	0.84	16.6	18.7	-2.14
Josh Smith	73	75	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	1	1	15.7	16.1	-0.46	16.5	19.6	-3.10
Solomon Jones	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	6	-9	16.8	15.6	1.18	18.8	16.7	2.13
Acie Law	28	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	1	1	15.2	16.0	-0.80	17.7	16.6	1.06
Al Horford	54	55	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	8	-13	15.8	15.7	0.10	17.6	15.9	1.69
Maurice Evans	42	41	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	14	-25	15.3	16.2	-0.96	17.6	16.4	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.85,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, CLE 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.79,0.9,0.83,1	91.6%
IND 83, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.95,1	91.4%
DET 100, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	91.0%