inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 105 Excitement8.4 [192] MVPArron Afflalo (ORL): +40.7%
New Orleans Hornets 102 Comeback27.7 [18] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -22.9%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0.410,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.410.100.30-0.012057%0.4100.00683%0.04
Al Harrington0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.28,0.280.050.220.00771%0.301-0.0300%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.10-0.01658%0.1400.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.090.090.010.01968%0.0900.00450%-0.04
Andrew Nicholson0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.030.03-0.02-0.021348%0.0300.001100%0.01
DeQuan Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00656%0.062-0.06475%-0.00
Beno Udrih-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.01-0.00425%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23-0.05-0.170.011548%-0.084-0.151100%0.01

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.040.11-0.03959%0.211-0.02475%0.01
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.030.10-0.00356%0.1300.00367%-0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.06-0.00482%0.152-0.043100%0.03
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.040.00760%0.121-0.041100%0.01
Eric Gordon0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.040.040.09-0.040.011461%0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.030.03-0.030.05-0.011349%0.123-0.09956%-0.03
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.00657%0.0100.002100%0.01
Lance Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Henry Sims00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.020.00741%-0.0200.003100%0.01
Greivis Vasquez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.2,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.011749%0.074-0.131100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.526.415.323.52.737.2132.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +32.6%
NOH -17.6%
ORL +27.7%
ORL +8.7%
NOH -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLNOHNBAORLNOHNBA
this game15.417.115.4118.0115.9104.1
season15.516.3100.3103.9
opponent15.615.3108.1107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.418.815.511.815.4
NOH15.718.216.518.217.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tobias Harris59570.98-0.481.450.4817-143114.217.9-3.6517.815.81.95
Al Harrington35350.78-0.281.070.4611-81913.017.0-3.9917.716.71.02
Arron Afflalo74730.380.120.270.41-14-516.211.94.3116.818.6-1.81
Jameer Nelson67660.360.140.220.42-25-715.814.31.5617.117.2-0.17
Maurice Harkless69670.280.220.050.48-710-1715.614.80.7716.917.8-0.87
Beno Udrih22220.140.36-0.22-0.015-2714.315.8-1.5617.217.10.17
E'Twaun Moore33330.070.43-0.36-0.199-61513.816.4-2.6417.816.71.10
DeQuan Jones780.060.44-0.380.0021111.615.8-4.2119.116.92.22
Andrew Nicholson2929-0.200.70-0.910.06-912-2118.114.23.9415.517.9-2.36
Nikola Vucevic5050-0.350.85-1.19-0.05-1013-2317.413.04.4116.817.6-0.79

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Xavier Henry29290.14-0.640.79-0.036-91517.217.00.2115.915.20.61
Henry Sims210.12-0.620.740.033-6915.517.1-1.6416.015.40.56
Al-Farouq Aminu57560.04-0.540.58-0.2510-132316.817.7-0.8916.613.62.98
Robin Lopez20230.03-0.530.57-0.115-81316.917.2-0.2614.815.7-0.84
Austin Rivers35340.02-0.520.540.19-63-917.217.00.1614.516.0-1.54
Lance Thomas1313-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-1-116.517.2-0.7516.615.21.37
Roger Mason Jr.2731-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-30-317.616.90.6513.516.5-2.97
Anthony Davis7070-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.41-1-2117.017.4-0.4316.113.22.85
Eric Gordon5154-0.530.03-0.57-0.623-6916.917.4-0.5216.214.22.01
Greivis Vasquez7271-0.640.14-0.77-0.52-41-517.316.21.1215.415.5-0.06
Ryan Anderson6463-1.070.57-1.65-0.31-2623-4917.416.40.9414.418.0-3.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.93,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.43,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.85,0.96,0.78,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 96, LAL 940.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.85,090.0%
CHI 91, DET 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.92,089.3%
NYK 100, MIN 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,089.3%