NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	96		Excitement	7.7 [301]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +34.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	94		Comeback	9.9 [63]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -20.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.34	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.34	0.10	0.21	-0.02	22	57%	0.35	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.12
Jose Juan Barea	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	0.00	6	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	8	61%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.07	-0.00	10	68%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	13	38%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	4	70%	0.03	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	10	60%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.3,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	29	57%	0.28	3	-0.21	5	80%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	6	46%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	12%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.2	-0.20	-0.00	-0.21	-0.01	10	58%	0.11	3	-0.31	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	32.9	18.8	24.0	3.4	36.4	141.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.0%

LAL -6.8%

LAL -14.6%

DAL +34.8%

DAL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	16.4	15.5	103.2	102.2	105.7
season	15.7	15.9		108.5	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	15.4	14.0	15.2	14.7
LAL	15.7	14.0	16.7	19.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	73	71	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.55	6	-4	10	14.8	14.4	0.42	16.9	14.9	2.02
Jason Terry	60	59	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	0	2	14.3	15.6	-1.31	15.9	17.4	-1.53
Jason Kidd	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.55	-4	6	-10	14.5	15.3	-0.84	16.1	17.2	-1.14
Jose Juan Barea	28	26	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	-6	14	15.3	14.5	0.84	17.2	16.1	1.14
Peja Stojakovic	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-4	10	14.2	15.3	-1.09	16.1	16.7	-0.54
Corey Brewer	14	15	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	-9	20	13.1	15.0	-1.95	19.0	15.9	3.09
Brendan Haywood	27	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	-4	10	14.9	14.7	0.17	16.8	16.3	0.53
Tyson Chandler	66	67	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	8	-14	14.7	14.9	-0.17	16.3	16.8	-0.53
Shawn Marion	66	66	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.28	-8	10	-18	15.0	14.0	0.98	16.1	17.2	-1.09
DeShawn Stevenson	19	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	13	-24	17.4	14.0	3.38	16.1	16.5	-0.44

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	33	34	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-1	0	16.2	16.5	-0.36	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Matt Barnes	30	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	1	-4	16.4	16.4	0.03	14.6	14.8	-0.26
Lamar Odom	61	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-5	8	15.7	17.8	-2.15	14.2	15.7	-1.55
Shannon Brown	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	6	-14	16.4	16.4	0.01	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Pau Gasol	67	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.49	9	-11	20	16.9	15.2	1.67	14.8	14.5	0.34
Kobe Bryant	68	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.48	6	-8	14	16.3	16.8	-0.51	14.7	14.7	0.05
Metta World Peace	60	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.55	1	-3	4	16.5	16.2	0.39	15.0	14.3	0.66
Derek Fisher	59	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.51	-1	-1	0	16.5	16.2	0.36	14.9	14.4	0.46
Andrew Bynum	56	57	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.25	-16	14	-30	16.7	16.0	0.63	15.2	14.0	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.92,0	92.1%
NYK 93, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.82,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.92,0	90.9%
ORL 105, NOH 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.93,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.43,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.85,0.96,0.78,0.58,0	90.0%