inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 96 Excitement6.2 [564] MVPVince Carter (DAL): +16.8%
Dallas Mavericks 111 Comeback2.9 [794] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -15.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0.140,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.06-0.011167%0.161-0.022100%0.01
Maurice Harkless0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.040.021559%0.111-0.02425%-0.01
Gustavo Ayon0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.040.00280%0.0800.0010%-0.02
E'Twaun Moore0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.02-0.02642%0.0400.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0.020,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.011562%0.135-0.114100%0.02
Kyle O'Quinn0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeQuan Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.04-0.041136%-0.052-0.03633%-0.06
JJ Redick-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.04-0.090.011237%-0.091-0.053100%0.01
Jameer Nelson-0.160,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.07-0.080.01930%-0.111-0.04250%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.050.10-0.021258%0.211-0.0400%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.05-0.021159%0.1300.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.060.01967%0.1200.0000%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.11-0.010.01968%0.1000.00771%-0.04
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.03-0.02275%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.031171%0.103-0.072100%0.01
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.02667%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Dahntay Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dominique Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bernard James0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00550%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.011340%-0.0600.004100%0.02
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.050.011039%-0.063-0.103100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.51.833.417.423.31.830.0133.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +36.7%
DAL +8.0%
ORL -3.2%
DAL +2.4%
DAL +6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDALNBAORLDALNBA
this game15.414.315.4100.0113.3104.1
season15.514.5100.3104.3
opponent15.615.3105.0107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.614.417.214.515.4
DAL13.215.014.814.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Nicholson6062-0.01-0.490.480.11-4-11716.912.94.0713.815.1-1.33
Maurice Harkless5556-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-161716.414.12.3313.914.8-0.90
Kyle O'Quinn77-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-11711.315.7-4.4418.114.04.14
DeQuan Jones2122-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-141313.316.0-2.7116.013.82.20
Ish Smith67-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-12911.515.7-4.1713.714.3-0.63
Jameer Nelson8083-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-1-141315.714.11.5413.916.3-2.33
Arron Afflalo7984-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-12915.514.80.7814.214.6-0.40
Nikola Vucevic7777-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-11-4-715.714.11.6214.114.9-0.71
E'Twaun Moore2525-0.35-0.15-0.190.18-183-2112.116.6-4.5015.413.91.54
Gustavo Ayon2625-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.12-12-3-913.616.1-2.4614.214.3-0.13
JJ Redick5555-0.810.31-1.11-0.01-2712-3914.816.2-1.3314.314.30.03

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter52520.58-0.080.66-0.0321-62714.713.80.8915.215.7-0.55
Mike James33340.450.050.410.1996315.413.71.6614.615.9-1.27
Jae Crowder27270.410.090.310.11105515.513.81.6414.016.0-2.01
Elton Brand49500.320.180.150.1278-115.613.02.6315.015.8-0.81
O.J. Mayo76740.280.220.07-0.01105513.816.0-2.2615.913.91.94
Brandan Wright21210.210.29-0.08-0.11114712.614.8-2.1315.215.5-0.22
Shawn Marion63610.200.30-0.11-0.10105513.715.5-1.8116.513.53.02
Dirk Nowitzki61600.100.40-0.310.07114-1314.414.20.2115.714.90.78
Rodrigue Beaubois430.000.50-0.500.09-318-2115.714.21.526.715.7-9.02
Dominique Jones430.000.50-0.500.09-318-2115.714.21.526.715.7-9.02
Darren Collison6865-0.000.50-0.51-0.12411-713.915.3-1.4516.014.21.84
Dahntay Jones44-0.010.51-0.520.02-116-1715.014.30.7310.515.6-5.12
Bernard James2826-0.040.54-0.57-0.01-116-1713.214.7-1.4616.115.10.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 91, MIA 970.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,192.4%
UTA 104, SAC 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,192.1%
PHI 82, SEA 960.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,192.1%