inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 104 Excitement6.7 [440] MVPQuincy Douby (SAC): +32.8%
Sacramento Kings 117 Comeback2.4 [386] LVPDeron Williams (UTA): -12.0%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ronnie Price0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.050.03592%0.1300.00250%-0.02
Mehmet Okur0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.07-0.00861%0.121-0.012100%0.02
Andrei Kirilenko0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.04-0.01778%0.183-0.08475%-0.00
Carlos Boozer0.030,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.020.021659%0.092-0.067100%0.05
Jason Hart0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.03-0.02729%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ Miles0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02743%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Matt Harpring-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.030.001154%0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Deron Williams-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.011745%0.044-0.16683%0.02

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quincy Douby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.130.19-0.01694%0.3310.004100%0.02
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.030.12-0.01862%0.252-0.095100%0.05
Kevin Martin0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.11-0.040.021573%0.164-0.11771%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.08-0.020.02568%0.061-0.021292%0.03
Dahntay Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.010.031455%0.093-0.091275%-0.01
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.02-0.03262%0.033-0.04475%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.00450%0.031-0.04650%-0.01
Justin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01658%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.02250%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.82.537.215.429.82.032.0147.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +4.7%
SAC +30.4%
SAC +23.6%
UTA -10.5%
SAC +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASACNBAUTASACNBA
this game15.213.415.4104.0115.8105.7
season15.514.9111.2105.6
opponent15.015.0108.0105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.416.214.615.715.2
SAC12.812.014.214.913.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Price36360.36-0.861.22-0.2019-325114.415.7-1.3414.712.72.03
Andrei Kirilenko69670.13-0.630.770.16-1-121115.315.10.1313.114.0-0.88
Jarron Collins550.01-0.510.51-0.114-17218.415.6-7.1818.013.24.79
Jason Hart1516-0.16-0.340.17-0.222-151714.315.4-1.0413.213.5-0.31
Paul Millsap3840-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-10715.615.00.5413.813.20.55
CJ Miles2223-0.22-0.280.05-0.02-7-6-113.615.7-2.0315.013.01.96
Deron Williams8585-0.34-0.16-0.170.10-152-1715.414.31.0413.513.20.31
Carlos Boozer8080-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-1-1115.513.91.6513.413.6-0.22
Mehmet Okur6263-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.04-152-1715.215.20.0213.812.90.93
Kyle Korver4647-0.640.14-0.77-0.02-218-2916.214.41.8512.214.5-2.35
Matt Harpring4243-0.650.15-0.79-0.18-163-1915.515.00.4812.114.4-2.31

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Beno Udrih53510.69-0.190.890.0821-82913.213.7-0.4215.315.20.07
Quincy Douby28270.67-0.170.830.1717-42114.613.01.5615.915.00.92
Mikki Moore64650.53-0.030.570.2794513.114.1-1.0015.115.4-0.28
Brad Miller69690.51-0.010.51-0.0519-62513.712.80.8815.714.11.58
Metta World Peace68670.350.150.19-0.1517-42114.112.12.0615.714.31.32
John Salmons67650.300.200.100.0685313.313.8-0.4815.215.3-0.15
Dahntay Jones210.000.50-0.500.06-215-1715.013.41.594.015.3-11.33
Kevin Martin5857-0.040.54-0.58-0.07112-1113.813.00.7815.115.4-0.39
Spencer Hawes2828-0.070.57-0.640.13-720-2711.914.1-2.2014.315.6-1.30
Justin Williams55-0.110.61-0.730.03-518-2315.613.32.2712.015.4-3.39
Francisco Garcia1516-0.130.63-0.750.02-518-2310.114.0-3.9714.715.3-0.63
Mike Bibby4849-0.190.69-0.890.04-821-2913.713.20.4215.215.3-0.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 98, BOS 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.84,193.4%
SAS 89, DAL 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,192.6%
MIN 90, LAL 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.99,1,1,192.5%