inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 98 Excitement7.9 [263] MVPJared Sullinger (BOS): +16.0%
Boston Celtics 101 Comeback2.0 [683] LVPRajon Rondo (BOS): -20.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luis Scola0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.060.001254%0.1000.0000%0.00
Roy Hibbert0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.080.050.060.021658%0.142-0.066100%0.08
Lavoy Allen0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.021155%0.0700.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
A.J. Price-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00736%0.011-0.0500%0.00
Chris Copeland-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.011355%0.075-0.125100%0.02
Damjan Rudez-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.040.00450%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
Donald Sloan-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11-0.00-0.100.021443%-0.1100.002100%0.02
Solomon Hill-0.120,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12-0.02-0.090.011155%0.013-0.1300%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.160.160.040.12-0.011750%0.1600.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.070.00483%0.1500.004100%0.02
Phil Pressey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.050.00383%0.111-0.0400%0.00
Tyler Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.01-0.00175%0.0400.00667%-0.01
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.020.02786%0.102-0.0700%0.00
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00757%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.02-0.01625%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04-0.040.01-0.07-0.031258%0.003-0.042100%0.04
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00233%-0.0400.002100%0.02
Avery Bradley0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.011242%-0.032-0.072100%0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21-0.21-0.08-0.130.001040%-0.123-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.52.328.415.421.52.441.5133.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +19.8%
IND -2.5%
BOS +19.8%
BOS +9.5%
BOS +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDBOSNBAINDBOSNBA
this game17.713.715.1108.9107.4104.2
season16.014.3102.3103.1
opponent15.415.0103.3102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND19.115.717.718.417.7
BOS11.213.814.415.913.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luis Scola54570.11-0.610.72-0.107-101717.218.3-1.0913.913.40.55
Roy Hibbert5965-0.04-0.460.42-0.3611-142517.517.9-0.3913.514.1-0.61
Chris Copeland7076-0.13-0.370.25-0.337-101717.119.5-2.4113.912.71.23
Donald Sloan6267-0.15-0.350.20-0.305-81317.318.6-1.3513.713.8-0.09
A.J. Price2827-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.07-107-1718.617.31.3513.813.70.09
Damjan Rudez3735-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.06-129-2118.017.40.5913.214.0-0.86
Ian Mahinmi3129-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-129-2117.917.50.3914.113.50.61
Solomon Hill7377-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.43-1-2118.016.21.7813.713.60.08
Lavoy Allen3637-0.610.11-0.72-0.32-107-1718.317.21.0913.413.9-0.55

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass39370.84-0.341.180.608-51314.113.50.5818.517.11.37
Phil Pressey20210.490.010.470.258-51315.513.22.2720.416.83.59
Evan Turner31290.420.080.340.159-61513.913.60.3318.717.21.44
Gerald Wallace14150.330.170.150.3012-115.413.41.9320.517.13.35
Jared Sullinger65620.320.180.130.088-51313.813.60.1817.917.20.67
Avery Bradley58570.230.27-0.050.29-25-713.613.9-0.2417.118.8-1.70
Tyler Zeller23220.100.40-0.300.22-47-1113.613.8-0.2017.717.70.07
Marcus Thornton15140.050.45-0.39-0.0121113.313.8-0.5317.617.7-0.13
Rajon Rondo58550.050.45-0.400.20-58-1313.414.2-0.7816.719.3-2.63
Marcus Smart31270.020.48-0.46-0.0112-112.814.2-1.3517.817.60.20
Jeff Green6258-0.080.58-0.660.18-912-2113.214.7-1.4316.619.7-3.17
Kelly Olynyk5453-0.260.76-1.01-0.20-25-713.913.50.3717.418.1-0.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 104, SAC 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,193.4%
CLE 98, TOR 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.97,0.98,193.1%
DET 90, MIL 920.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,192.9%