NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	7.1 [423]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +38.1%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.7 [834]		LVP	Eric Snow (CLE): -13.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.38	0.17	0.15	-0.07	36	64%	0.45	4	-0.07	15	93%	0.07
Drew Gooden	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	16	65%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Ira Newble	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	1	25%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	15	30%	-0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Eric Snow	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.10	-0.00	15	75%	0.28	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.17	-0.00	23	60%	0.31	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	46%	-0.02	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.06
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	4	45%	-0.06	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.06
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	9	45%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	26.5	17.4	26.4	2.4	32.6	132.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.7%

CLE -3.1%

TOR +28.1%

CLE -13.7%

TOR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	16.8	15.8	15.5	112.6	116.7	104.0
season	16.2	15.1		104.6	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.3		106.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.2	14.5	18.4	18.5	16.8
TOR	13.9	16.1	17.6	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	15	16	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-12	17	12.3	17.7	-5.40	14.2	16.1	-1.91
Lucious Harris	20	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-6	5	17.6	16.6	1.03	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Eric Snow	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-11	15	17.7	15.7	2.02	17.2	14.1	3.11
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	75	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	17.1	14.9	2.19	16.0	14.5	1.49
Anderson Varejao	12	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	14.9	17.1	-2.19	14.7	15.9	-1.24
Jiri Welsch	16	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	1	-9	15.0	17.2	-2.21	14.4	16.1	-1.73
Drew Gooden	75	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-5	3	17.1	14.9	2.19	15.9	14.7	1.24
Robert Traylor	12	14	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	0	-7	14.9	17.1	-2.19	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Ira Newble	52	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	4	-15	17.8	15.3	2.45	16.3	14.9	1.37
LeBron James	87	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	16.8	0.0	16.80	15.8	0.0	15.76

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	32	31	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-4	15	16.0	15.6	0.33	15.2	17.7	-2.50
Chris Bosh	70	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-1	9	16.0	14.9	1.10	17.9	13.2	4.68
Jalen Rose	80	78	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	4	-1	15.7	16.2	-0.50	16.7	17.6	-0.84
Donyell Marshall	58	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	6	-5	15.7	15.8	-0.04	16.1	18.1	-2.03
Milt Palacio	31	30	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-1	9	15.2	16.1	-0.91	16.6	16.9	-0.36
Loren Woods	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	-3	13	15.6	15.9	-0.27	18.1	15.9	2.18
Rafer Alston	59	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	8	-9	16.1	15.2	0.91	16.9	16.6	0.36
Morris Peterson	63	59	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	6	-5	15.6	16.2	-0.67	16.8	16.7	0.13
Pape Sow	20	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	13	-19	15.7	15.8	-0.01	15.6	17.2	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 108, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.96,1,1	93.6%
IND 98, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.84,1	93.1%
ATL 63, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	93.0%