NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	8.0 [244]		MVP	Earl Clark (LAL): +18.2%
Brooklyn Nets	83		Comeback	1.8 [346]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (BKN): -23.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Clark	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	9	67%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Steve Blake	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.09	-0.04	6	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	11	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	0.08	0.01	24	41%	0.06	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	16	42%	-0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0,0.07,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	25	50%	0.14	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	15	34%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	13	48%	0.04	5	-0.15	5	60%	-0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	10	41%	-0.06	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	29.7	14.7	25.4	2.4	35.7	133.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +64.6%

BKN -13.0%

BKN -20.2%

LAL +16.8%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BKN	NBA	LAL	BKN	NBA
this game	14.0	16.6	15.4	97.9	88.3	104.1
season	14.9	16.5		106.0	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	13.0	14.1	14.5	14.0
BKN	13.6	17.8	18.0	17.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	80	79	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.20	18	-9	27	13.9	14.9	-0.96	16.9	14.9	1.98
Jodie Meeks	46	47	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-8	25	13.8	14.2	-0.38	16.9	16.3	0.68
Kobe Bryant	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	4	1	13.9	14.6	-0.78	16.6	16.6	-0.03
Steve Nash	66	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	6	-3	13.4	15.5	-2.02	16.9	16.0	0.89
Antawn Jamison	71	73	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	9	-9	14.4	13.0	1.32	16.4	17.3	-0.95
Chris Duhon	13	12	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	3	3	12.5	14.3	-1.75	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Robert Sacre	22	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	6	-3	14.2	14.0	0.24	15.8	16.8	-1.01
Steve Blake	36	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	13	-17	15.3	13.3	2.00	15.3	17.3	-1.95
Pau Gasol	64	66	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	12	-15	14.4	13.3	1.04	16.8	16.0	0.80

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	46	46	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-12	15	16.3	16.9	-0.66	13.8	14.2	-0.38
MarShon Brooks	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-10	11	15.7	16.7	-0.99	17.7	13.8	3.87
Andray Blatche	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-5	1	16.2	16.6	-0.44	12.3	14.3	-2.00
CJ Watson	23	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	1	-11	16.0	16.8	-0.73	13.6	14.2	-0.60
Keith Bogans	28	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-2	-5	15.5	17.1	-1.56	14.4	13.9	0.52
Brook Lopez	77	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-11	13	16.9	15.1	1.88	14.4	12.5	1.91
Mirza Teletovic	16	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	0	-9	15.1	16.9	-1.85	13.5	14.2	-0.69
Deron Williams	73	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-8	7	16.8	16.0	0.83	14.1	13.9	0.17
Gerald Wallace	70	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-7	5	16.8	16.1	0.63	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Joe Johnson	82	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	16.9	14.6	2.31	13.6	16.8	-3.20
Kris Humphries	39	38	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	2	-13	17.1	16.3	0.78	15.0	13.4	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.14,0.09,0	92.7%
PHX 94, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.11,0	91.7%
HOU 111, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.73,0.53,0.29,0.03,0.04,0	90.9%