NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	3.0 [1203]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +14.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Comeback	1.0 [1274]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -13.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Wroten	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	17	61%	0.03	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	19	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	6	7%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	12	31%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	15	46%	0.01	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.02	17	25%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	16	66%	0.15	2	-0.01	9	78%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	86%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	17	58%	0.10	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	13	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	70%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.8	29.8	18.4	26.3	2.8	32.3	139.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +54.0%

OKC +8.0%

MEM -9.6%

MEM -1.8%

MEM -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	17.0	13.4	15.4	94.7	110.4	104.1
season	16.5	14.8		102.9	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	17.5	17.9	15.7	17.0
OKC	12.9	12.0	15.7	13.1	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	11.5	17.7	-6.15	13.8	13.3	0.50
Tony Wroten	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-13	9	11.7	18.4	-6.67	13.6	13.3	0.34
Darrell Arthur	49	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-9	1	15.5	18.6	-3.11	13.2	13.5	-0.27
Marc Gasol	71	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-10	3	17.5	15.4	2.07	13.5	13.0	0.42
Chris Johnson	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-1	-15	15.8	18.0	-2.27	12.8	13.8	-1.07
Tony Allen	56	56	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-5	-7	18.1	15.3	2.83	13.7	12.9	0.78
Jerryd Bayless	78	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-2	-13	17.3	15.7	1.51	13.4	13.1	0.35
Mike Conley	73	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-10	3	18.0	13.4	4.60	13.3	13.6	-0.37
Zach Randolph	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-2	-13	18.3	13.2	5.09	13.3	13.4	-0.12

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	53	50	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.26	24	-7	31	12.9	14.0	-1.09	17.2	16.8	0.34
Russell Westbrook	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.20	21	-4	25	12.8	14.4	-1.68	17.6	15.8	1.82
Kevin Durant	73	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	5	7	13.3	13.7	-0.39	18.3	12.6	5.76
Kevin Martin	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	5	7	13.1	13.7	-0.66	16.6	17.7	-1.11
Thabo Sefolosha	47	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	8	1	13.7	13.0	0.64	16.9	17.1	-0.21
Kendrick Perkins	48	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	9	-1	14.4	12.3	2.17	18.5	15.3	3.20
Reggie Jackson	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	16	-15	13.8	13.2	0.61	18.2	16.5	1.78
Hasheem Thabeet	27	24	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	11	-5	12.8	13.6	-0.80	12.0	18.7	-6.77
DeAndre Liggins	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	13	-9	13.6	13.3	0.32	14.1	17.6	-3.52
Serge Ibaka	47	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.37	-10	27	-37	13.5	13.2	0.31	18.5	15.4	3.07
Eric Maynor	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	13.8	13.3	0.50	10.0	17.7	-7.74
Perry Jones	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	13.8	13.3	0.50	10.0	17.7	-7.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 75, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
DEN 93, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
TOR 75, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%