NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	75		Excitement	2.5 [1222]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (TOR): +4.4%
Boston Celtics	88		Comeback	1.1 [1149]		LVP	Milt Palacio (TOR): -9.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	15	51%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	59%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	59%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Robert Archibald	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	10	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	8	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	79%	0.05	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.11	7	50%	0.03	5	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	52%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	8	41%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	16	48%	0.01	4	-0.04	12	92%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.8	33.2	17.6	33.0	3.6	29.4	148.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.9%

BOS +5.3%

BOS +11.6%

BOS +1.2%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	17.8	14.2	15.7	82.4	98.9	100.5
season	16.8	14.4		94.8	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.7	19.9	18.1	16.7	17.8
BOS	11.5	14.4	12.4	19.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.40	13	-26	39	16.4	18.7	-2.32	16.3	12.7	3.62
Michael Bradley	17	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-8	3	17.1	17.9	-0.89	17.6	13.5	4.11
Robert Archibald	3	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-6	-1	11.3	18.0	-6.67	17.2	14.0	3.21
Chris Bosh	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-14	15	18.1	17.5	0.62	16.1	12.6	3.58
Jerome Moiso	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-6	-1	17.9	17.7	0.24	11.1	16.5	-5.32
Milt Palacio	52	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-10	7	17.0	18.9	-1.91	16.2	11.6	4.61
Morris Peterson	33	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	2	-17	19.2	17.0	2.15	11.8	15.5	-3.69
Jannero Pargo	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-2	-9	17.6	17.9	-0.23	13.2	14.8	-1.56
Michael Curry	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	0	-13	18.9	16.8	2.05	13.7	14.7	-0.98
Roger Mason Jr.	72	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	17.9	17.4	0.45	13.5	16.8	-3.32
Donyell Marshall	83	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-5	-3	17.9	16.2	1.68	13.9	17.5	-3.65

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	71	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-5	23	13.5	17.1	-3.60	18.0	16.7	1.32
Mark Blount	59	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-1	15	14.0	14.5	-0.43	17.9	17.6	0.23
Brandon Hunter	63	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	-2	17	14.1	14.3	-0.13	18.0	17.3	0.66
Chucky Atkins	64	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	3	7	14.3	13.9	0.36	17.5	18.7	-1.23
Ricky Davis	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	12	-11	13.7	14.8	-1.11	17.8	17.8	0.02
Jiri Welsch	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	6	1	15.4	12.2	3.15	17.7	17.9	-0.13
Marcus Banks	26	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	10	-7	14.3	14.1	0.18	18.0	17.7	0.30
Walter McCarty	26	26	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.19	-2	15	-17	14.3	14.1	0.13	17.3	18.0	-0.66
Chris Mihm	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	14	-15	14.5	14.0	0.43	17.6	17.9	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, DAL 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
UTA 98, SAS 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
NYK 90, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%