NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	93		Excitement	2.7 [1221]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +10.1%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.0 [871]		LVP	Eduardo Najera (DEN): -7.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	18	57%	0.07	4	-0.04	11	64%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	15	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	24	60%	0.05	6	-0.06	12	67%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	8	31%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	12	68%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.00	-0.07	14	67%	0.13	5	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	65%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	27.1	16.7	26.2	2.7	33.4	136.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.4%

DEN -0.0%

DEN -6.1%

ATL +7.7%

ATL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	ATL	NBA	DEN	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	15.4	98.9	113.0	105.7
season	13.3	15.4		108.2	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.2		107.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.7	14.7	16.2	13.9	14.9
ATL	13.0	15.3	15.8	21.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	52	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-18	25	15.2	14.5	0.70	18.0	13.6	4.48
Anthony Carter	53	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-1	-9	14.5	15.4	-0.89	15.8	16.4	-0.62
Yakhouba Diawara	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	4	-19	16.4	14.5	1.98	13.0	17.0	-4.00
Linas Kleiza	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-6	1	14.7	15.2	-0.55	17.1	14.6	2.48
Eduardo Najera	47	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	0	-11	15.3	14.6	0.72	14.3	17.7	-3.39
Marcus Camby	75	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	14.4	16.9	-2.52	15.5	18.0	-2.47
Carmelo Anthony	81	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-6	1	14.9	15.0	-0.07	16.6	12.3	4.28
Allen Iverson	87	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-4	-3	15.0	14.3	0.70	16.0	16.1	-0.11

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	84	84	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-7	25	15.7	19.4	-3.65	15.0	14.7	0.26
Marvin Williams	63	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-3	17	16.1	16.0	0.06	16.0	12.7	3.30
Al Horford	63	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	4	3	16.0	16.2	-0.19	14.7	15.3	-0.58
Josh Childress	65	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	12	-13	16.6	14.7	1.95	15.1	14.7	0.40
Acie Law	40	39	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	2	7	15.9	16.1	-0.21	16.7	13.7	3.00
Josh Smith	59	62	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	4	3	16.7	14.8	1.91	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Anthony Johnson	52	55	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	9	-7	16.1	15.9	0.21	13.7	16.7	-3.00
Tyronn Lue	22	23	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	9	-7	16.8	15.8	0.96	15.7	14.7	1.06
Mario West	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	12	-13	9.6	16.4	-6.81	6.4	15.4	-9.02
Solomon Jones	7	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	13	-15	11.4	16.4	-4.99	12.8	15.2	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 77, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
TOR 102, BOS 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
PHI 76, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%