NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	91		Excitement	7.1 [379]		MVP	Jason Smith (NOH): +27.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	83		Comeback	2.0 [244]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -41.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.16	-0.00	7	73%	0.27	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.07	-0.03	13	79%	0.31	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	9	45%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.03	0.02	5	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Anthony Davis	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.09	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.41,-0.42	-0.24	-0.16	0.01	16	15%	-0.26	4	-0.15	1	100%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	16	59%	0.14	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	41%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	12	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	14	44%	-0.03	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.20	-0.08	-0.11	17	26%	-0.06	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.02
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	7	14%	-0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	28.4	16.4	23.6	2.6	32.2	129.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +58.9%

MEM -8.9%

MEM -5.7%

NOH +5.7%

MEM -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MEM	NBA	NOH	MEM	NBA
this game	15.4	17.3	15.4	103.4	94.3	104.1
season	16.3	16.5		103.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.8	16.0	14.0	17.1	15.4
MEM	17.2	16.7	17.3	18.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	51	49	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-3	14	16.4	14.1	2.33	16.7	18.0	-1.27
Ryan Anderson	48	49	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	16.5	14.1	2.44	17.3	17.3	0.07
Greivis Vasquez	63	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	14.8	17.0	-2.19	17.1	17.7	-0.57
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	5	-2	14.5	17.3	-2.83	16.9	18.1	-1.19
Austin Rivers	35	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	0	8	16.5	14.7	1.84	18.3	16.6	1.76
Lance Thomas	27	27	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	3	2	17.1	14.7	2.37	17.7	17.1	0.64
Eric Gordon	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	8	-8	14.9	16.3	-1.33	16.8	18.1	-1.25
Brian Roberts	25	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	2	4	17.0	14.8	2.19	17.7	17.1	0.57
Robin Lopez	31	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	5	-2	13.4	16.5	-3.16	18.6	16.6	2.04
Anthony Davis	46	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	12	-16	14.6	16.4	-1.82	17.0	17.7	-0.71

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-4	0	20.2	17.0	3.25	14.7	15.5	-0.75
Chris Johnson	32	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.35	8	-16	24	15.6	18.3	-2.67	16.3	15.0	1.32
Zach Randolph	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-6	4	17.6	16.6	1.02	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Tony Allen	51	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	17.6	16.9	0.74	14.4	17.0	-2.60
Jerryd Bayless	68	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-1	-6	17.1	17.9	-0.85	15.5	15.3	0.21
Darrell Arthur	37	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	16.8	17.6	-0.79	16.3	14.8	1.51
Rudy Gay	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	3	-14	17.2	17.5	-0.31	15.0	16.5	-1.46
Tony Wroten	44	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-5	2	17.6	17.0	0.64	16.7	14.0	2.74
Marc Gasol	75	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	1	-10	17.5	15.9	1.61	15.1	17.1	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.08,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, DEN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.4,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.5%
DEN 102, NOH 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.26,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	92.8%
DEN 100, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.03,0.02,0	92.8%