NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	6.2 [546]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): +16.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	1.1 [1144]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -30.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.03	16	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	3	133%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	19	55%	0.08	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.02
Dorell Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.04	16	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.02	-0.01	16	32%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3	-0.23	-0.07	-0.00	12	32%	-0.11	8	-0.20	4	75%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.02	17	67%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	17	62%	0.23	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	65%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	10	69%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	10	41%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	25.6	16.3	23.4	1.8	33.3	126.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +44.1%

MIL +4.6%

PHI -5.2%

MIL +4.5%

MIL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.4	107.4	117.0	104.1
season	15.5	14.7		100.5	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.9	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	16.5	17.3	12.3	15.3
MIL	13.3	16.3	16.1	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	23	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-7	6	14.7	15.4	-0.69	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Damien Wilkins	27	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-8	8	16.4	14.8	1.65	15.8	15.0	0.75
Dorell Wright	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	-3	-2	15.1	15.3	-0.15	15.6	15.2	0.45
Nick Young	64	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-13	18	14.9	16.1	-1.19	15.6	14.5	1.13
Thaddeus Young	76	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-6	4	14.9	16.5	-1.58	15.1	15.6	-0.42
Royal Ivey	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	3	-14	16.3	14.6	1.67	14.4	15.8	-1.37
Spencer Hawes	72	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	15.4	14.7	0.69	15.4	14.6	0.83
Evan Turner	88	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	15.4	13.6	1.83	14.9	19.2	-4.22
Jrue Holiday	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	4	-16	14.9	17.2	-2.39	15.5	13.9	1.60

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Sanders	64	65	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	-11	30	15.1	15.4	-0.23	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Monta Ellis	86	87	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-3	14	15.2	14.9	0.37	15.0	18.5	-3.53
Ersan Ilyasova	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.16	13	-5	18	15.0	16.0	-0.98	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Brandon Jennings	77	78	0.51	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	14.9	16.5	-1.61	15.4	14.4	1.04
Luc Mbah a Moute	39	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	-1	10	15.4	15.1	0.34	16.7	14.3	2.37
Mike Dunleavy	55	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	9	-10	15.1	15.4	-0.34	14.3	16.7	-2.37
John Henson	23	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	13	-18	16.0	15.0	0.98	15.8	15.1	0.66
Beno Udrih	25	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	12	-16	16.0	14.9	1.07	15.7	15.1	0.62
Ekpe Udoh	30	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.16	-11	19	-30	15.4	15.1	0.23	15.4	15.2	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 80, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	95.1%
MIL 92, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.8%
CHA 91, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,0.99,1,1	94.6%