NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	91		Excitement	5.8 [665]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): +15.0%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	1.0 [626]		LVP	Mo Williams (CHA): -15.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.02	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	16	54%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	59%	0.06	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	18	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	18	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.01	0.04	15	29%	-0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	20	66%	0.22	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	8	59%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	24.1	15.4	29.3	1.8	38.0	133.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +47.6%

SAC +3.2%

SAC +7.0%

CHA -14.8%

SAC +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAC	NBA	CHA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.1	91.9	104.1	104.2
season	15.6	14.9		98.9	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.1		107.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	16.3	17.1	11.5	15.0
SAC	13.1	13.7	15.5	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	28	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-9	8	13.6	15.6	-1.98	15.7	13.8	1.93
Cody Zeller	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-8	6	14.6	15.3	-0.76	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Gerald Henderson	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	15.8	13.6	2.20	13.6	15.9	-2.27
Lance Stephenson	40	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-6	2	14.1	15.7	-1.56	15.2	13.7	1.49
Marvin Williams	52	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-2	-6	14.6	15.5	-0.87	14.5	14.2	0.28
Kemba Walker	64	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	15.8	13.7	2.12	13.6	15.7	-2.04
Mo Williams	64	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	14.1	16.7	-2.60	15.1	13.0	2.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	72	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	0	-10	15.3	14.2	1.11	14.3	14.4	-0.04
Al Jefferson	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	15.9	13.1	2.72	14.0	15.2	-1.16

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	75	76	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	1	8	13.6	16.8	-3.13	15.7	12.9	2.81
Omri Casspi	68	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	2	6	13.6	16.0	-2.40	15.3	14.3	1.02
Ben McLemore	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	6	-2	13.6	15.3	-1.69	17.0	12.7	4.29
Andre Miller	51	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	7	-4	15.8	12.7	3.11	12.6	17.8	-5.14
Derrick Williams	50	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	6	-2	15.7	12.9	2.87	12.8	17.4	-4.51
Jason Thompson	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	9	-8	13.9	14.9	-0.96	16.3	13.6	2.70
Reggie Evans	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	5	0	15.5	13.5	2.05	14.1	15.7	-1.58
Ray McCallum	48	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	-1	12	12.2	16.4	-4.16	17.0	13.1	3.98
Nik Stauskas	30	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	15.7	13.7	1.95	13.8	15.6	-1.75
Carl Landry	13	14	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	9	-8	16.8	14.0	2.88	13.1	15.3	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, POR 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	95.1%
ATL 102, IND 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 75, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%