NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	111		Excitement	4.4 [963]		MVP	Xavier Henry (NOH): +7.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	1.1 [570]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -7.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Xavier Henry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	87%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	63%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	18	62%	0.10	6	-0.14	1	0%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.15	-0.02	0.10	17	74%	0.10	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.08	9	74%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	18	32%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	27.8	14.8	27.0	1.6	28.2	123.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +25.0%

PHI -1.5%

NOH +26.9%

PHI -4.0%

NOH +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHI	NBA	NOH	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	16.1	15.4	123.3	111.2	104.1
season	16.3	15.5		103.9	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		104.2	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.6	16.9	13.5	17.3	16.0
PHI	15.4	15.8	17.2	16.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-1	14	16.3	15.4	0.88	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	1	10	16.0	16.1	-0.17	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Ryan Anderson	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	6	0	16.6	15.2	1.40	16.3	15.9	0.33
Robin Lopez	45	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	2	8	14.8	17.3	-2.49	16.0	16.3	-0.23
Eric Gordon	60	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	6	0	16.1	15.8	0.32	16.0	16.3	-0.31
Xavier Henry	28	26	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	4	4	16.0	16.1	-0.06	15.7	16.3	-0.63
Jason Smith	42	41	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	8	-4	16.9	15.3	1.66	16.5	15.8	0.65
Anthony Davis	41	40	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	8	-4	15.8	16.3	-0.53	15.7	16.5	-0.74
Roger Mason Jr.	49	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	13	-14	16.3	15.8	0.53	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Austin Rivers	9	10	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	10	-8	16.8	16.0	0.81	17.4	16.0	1.43
Brian Roberts	14	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	15	-18	13.6	16.5	-2.93	17.6	15.9	1.73

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	13	14	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.23	9	-21	30	16.8	16.0	0.83	16.0	16.1	-0.05
Nick Young	21	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-18	24	16.1	16.1	0.01	17.3	15.6	1.69
Dorell Wright	45	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-17	22	16.4	15.9	0.45	17.0	15.0	2.04
Royal Ivey	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-4	-4	15.4	16.3	-0.97	16.7	15.9	0.82
Damien Wilkins	34	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-5	-2	16.5	15.9	0.54	16.5	15.8	0.68
Lavoy Allen	29	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-3	-6	15.6	16.4	-0.81	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Spencer Hawes	39	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	16.5	15.8	0.72	15.7	16.3	-0.53
Jason Richardson	39	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	0	-12	16.4	16.0	0.40	15.1	16.7	-1.58
Thaddeus Young	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-8	4	16.0	16.7	-0.64	16.1	15.8	0.29
Evan Turner	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-3	-6	16.4	15.5	0.87	15.7	17.0	-1.36
Jrue Holiday	69	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.09	-22	10	-32	15.7	17.8	-2.15	15.8	16.8	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 77, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
WAS 91, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	95.2%
UTA 109, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%