inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 91 Excitement4.8 [860] MVPLarry Hughes (WAS): +4.9%
Miami Heat 87 Comeback1.0 [948] LVPBrian Grant (MIA): -9.7%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Larry Hughes0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.020.03-0.041150%0.061-0.01450%-0.03
Brendan Haywood0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.014100%0.082-0.041100%0.00
Christian Laettner0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.040.000.02-0.021157%0.072-0.031100%0.00
Tyronn Lue-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01-0.020.01-0.01955%0.042-0.054100%0.03
Michael Jordan-0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.02-0.032645%0.021-0.033100%0.01
Bobby Simmons-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00837%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kwame Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00955%0.042-0.06450%-0.01
Juan Dixon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01312%-0.0500.00250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.01480%0.0400.002100%0.01
Caron Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.011359%0.052-0.056100%0.03
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.01771%0.062-0.0700%0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01644%-0.0200.00650%-0.02
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.01753%0.023-0.0510%-0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.00933%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Sean Lampley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.01644%-0.012-0.05475%-0.01
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06-0.060.02-0.040.05771%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Ken Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.01743%-0.022-0.0700%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.01250%-0.013-0.08250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.429.517.421.62.430.6126.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +19.1%
WAS +2.8%
WAS +8.4%
WAS +18.1%
WAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMIANBAWASMIANBA
this game17.414.815.5102.296.7101.6
season16.516.3100.994.6
opponent15.915.5100.7101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS17.616.816.418.817.4
MIA16.014.514.914.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Larry Hughes47490.65-0.150.800.3012-82015.919.0-3.1313.816.0-2.21
Christian Laettner70720.450.050.410.315-1617.616.41.2115.014.20.82
Michael Jordan73730.400.100.310.3522018.014.63.3514.814.9-0.15
Tyronn Lue69700.370.130.250.3222017.716.11.5714.914.60.22
Kwame Brown72730.270.230.050.30-15-617.417.10.3914.914.50.36
Brendan Haywood33320.200.30-0.090.1231218.216.91.2415.314.50.81
Juan Dixon12130.140.36-0.21-0.005-1614.217.9-3.7013.415.1-1.68
Bryon Russell25250.140.36-0.220.1404-417.217.4-0.1814.315.0-0.75
Bobby Simmons4443-0.140.64-0.780.09-812-2017.217.5-0.2815.913.82.08

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike James1313-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-5615.314.70.5717.117.4-0.34
Brian Grant4343-0.04-0.460.43-0.102-6815.314.40.8718.716.22.52
Rasual Butler3736-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-2014.914.70.2118.116.91.20
Eddie House2828-0.13-0.370.24-0.368-122014.215.1-0.8317.617.30.34
Travis Best1817-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-40-414.215.0-0.8216.417.6-1.19
Malik Allen5052-0.17-0.330.15-0.09-3-1-215.513.91.6217.617.00.63
Vladimir Stepania1515-0.18-0.320.130.05-84-1214.514.9-0.4314.418.0-3.57
LaPhonso Ellis3937-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.301-5614.315.2-0.9517.017.6-0.63
Anthony Carter4544-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-106-1615.114.50.5817.617.20.44
Ken Johnson3231-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.342-6814.415.1-0.6917.017.6-0.57
Caron Butler8080-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.39-2-2014.815.0-0.2017.615.42.14
Sean Lampley5049-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.31-51-614.615.0-0.4116.618.3-1.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 105, TOR 910.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,096.0%
NOH 111, PHI 990.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,095.2%
ORL 88, UTA 750.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,094.4%