NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	4.2 [929]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +11.4%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.2 [805]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -6.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	14	67%	0.13	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	85%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	18	62%	0.09	4	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Carr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	4	71%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	90%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	15	65%	0.06	3	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	19	58%	0.02	3	-0.04	12	58%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	16	51%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.8	28.3	17.5	25.4	2.7	35.3	136.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.1%

UTA +16.3%

UTA +7.9%

DET -6.1%

UTA +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	16.7	14.5	15.6	117.2	106.5	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		108.1	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.9		101.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	16.5	17.6	16.2	16.7
DET	14.8	13.5	18.4	11.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	80	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-2	15	16.7	16.5	0.14	14.9	11.9	2.96
Jeff Hornacek	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-2	15	16.1	18.3	-2.18	15.0	12.6	2.41
Adam Keefe	39	38	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-1	13	15.9	17.2	-1.26	17.2	12.6	4.58
John Stockton	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	3	5	15.7	18.4	-2.72	14.9	13.6	1.34
Greg Foster	41	40	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	3	5	16.5	16.8	-0.26	17.2	12.3	4.88
Bryon Russell	60	59	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	10	-9	16.9	16.2	0.78	12.6	17.8	-5.22
Howard Eisley	43	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	10	-9	17.9	15.6	2.33	13.4	15.3	-1.94
Shandon Anderson	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	12	-13	17.0	16.3	0.67	12.7	16.2	-3.48
Antoine Carr	15	16	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	9	-7	17.9	16.4	1.52	10.9	15.2	-4.27
Chris Morris	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	13	-15	18.6	16.4	2.21	12.6	14.7	-2.17

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Henson	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-15	19	11.3	15.3	-3.97	16.8	16.6	0.23
Don Reid	30	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-11	11	16.0	13.7	2.27	17.0	16.5	0.47
Malik Sealy	24	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-11	11	12.3	15.2	-2.89	16.2	16.9	-0.70
Lindsey Hunter	44	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-10	9	14.3	14.6	-0.37	16.7	16.6	0.05
Jerome Williams	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-9	7	13.7	14.8	-1.08	18.2	16.1	2.08
Rick Mahorn	14	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-3	-5	15.8	14.2	1.55	17.2	16.6	0.58
Jerry Stackhouse	71	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-4	-3	13.6	17.4	-3.78	17.1	14.9	2.17
Grant Hill	84	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	2	-15	14.6	13.5	1.06	16.2	21.2	-5.06
Joe Dumars	63	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	4	-19	16.0	11.2	4.81	16.3	17.3	-1.00
Bison Dele	84	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	2	-15	14.9	10.2	4.62	16.4	19.0	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
OKC 103, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
CHI 98, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%