NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	5.5 [751]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +11.1%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	1.1 [889]		LVP	Shelden Williams (ATL): -9.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	19	64%	0.18	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Maceo Baston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	54%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Shawne Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	17	56%	0.08	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	9	42%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	50%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	18	44%	0.04	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	24	63%	0.24	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.04	11	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.8	31.2	14.6	28.1	1.7	35.0	140.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.5%

ATL -8.0%

IND +29.4%

ATL -0.8%

IND +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.1	15.4	106.4	95.7	104.5
season	15.3	16.1		101.3	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.2	15.9	14.3	18.6	16.5
ATL	14.1	12.9	17.0	12.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	61	63	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	-5	20	16.4	16.7	-0.27	15.0	12.5	2.44
Stephen Jackson	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	1	8	15.7	19.1	-3.40	14.2	13.9	0.37
Al Harrington	74	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	3	4	16.7	15.6	1.13	14.7	11.9	2.73
Danny Granger	69	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	3	4	16.5	16.6	-0.10	13.3	16.3	-2.93
Jeff Foster	46	45	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	3	4	16.2	16.8	-0.58	15.2	13.1	2.10
Jamaal Tinsley	57	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	5	0	15.9	17.4	-1.42	14.9	12.8	2.10
Sarunas Jasikevicius	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	6	-2	17.5	16.0	1.44	13.9	14.3	-0.41
Darrell Armstrong	28	24	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	7	-4	18.0	15.9	2.10	12.0	14.9	-2.83
Shawne Williams	9	9	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	9	-8	14.7	16.7	-2.02	13.3	14.2	-0.90
Maceo Baston	24	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.22	-8	18	-26	18.1	15.9	2.14	11.2	15.2	-3.95

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	36	36	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-14	18	14.7	13.8	0.88	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Royal Ivey	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-6	2	11.3	15.0	-3.63	14.7	17.0	-2.27
Josh Smith	59	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-3	-4	14.2	14.0	0.24	15.9	17.5	-1.54
Shelden Williams	33	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-7	4	13.4	14.5	-1.12	17.6	15.9	1.63
Lorenzen Wright	45	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	12.9	15.3	-2.33	17.1	15.9	1.26
Zaza Pachulia	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	15.5	11.6	3.92	15.6	18.2	-2.61
Marvin Williams	74	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-7	4	14.6	12.6	1.97	17.1	14.1	3.01
Salim Stoudamire	56	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	13.4	15.2	-1.83	17.2	15.4	1.79
Joe Johnson	85	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	5	-20	14.6	9.8	4.83	16.5	16.5	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
CHI 98, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
POR 98, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	95.4%