NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	7.0 [403]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +17.4%
Golden State Warriors	87		Comeback	1.4 [583]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -18.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	13	66%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	19	47%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	57%	0.15	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.02
Wayne Ellington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	12	41%	0.03	2	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Tony Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	10	24%	-0.15	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	13	62%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.07
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	5	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	72%	0.09	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	22	53%	0.13	4	-0.15	1	0%	-0.01
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	6	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	14	41%	0.01	4	-0.19	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	26.7	14.8	27.5	2.5	33.2	132.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -5.4%

GSW -0.9%

MEM +32.8%

MEM +20.1%

MEM +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	18.1	13.8	15.4	103.3	97.8	104.1
season	16.5	14.6		102.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.7	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.3	16.2	17.8	21.7	18.1
GSW	14.6	14.3	12.2	14.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	70	69	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-10	27	18.5	16.9	1.64	13.5	14.9	-1.44
Mike Conley	75	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-4	15	18.2	17.6	0.60	13.7	14.5	-0.79
Jerryd Bayless	60	59	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-5	17	18.5	17.4	1.11	14.4	12.7	1.66
Marc Gasol	69	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	3	1	18.4	17.4	1.00	13.3	15.4	-2.10
Rudy Gay	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	8	-9	18.3	17.6	0.65	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Darrell Arthur	27	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	5	-3	16.8	18.7	-1.91	15.7	13.1	2.63
Tony Allen	58	54	0.07	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	1	5	18.0	18.4	-0.43	13.8	13.9	-0.14
Wayne Ellington	10	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	14	-21	14.9	18.5	-3.62	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Marreese Speights	16	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	16	-25	17.7	18.2	-0.53	14.4	13.7	0.72

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	11	10	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.07	2	-9	11	12.7	14.0	-1.26	18.8	18.0	0.76
Draymond Green	9	8	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-11	15	14.2	13.8	0.43	13.4	18.6	-5.20
Charles Jenkins	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-5	3	14.5	13.8	0.68	20.0	18.1	1.92
Festus Ezeli	47	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-6	5	13.6	14.1	-0.54	17.7	18.5	-0.78
Harrison Barnes	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	0	-7	14.0	13.6	0.43	18.6	17.5	1.11
Klay Thompson	80	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-10	13	13.6	16.1	-2.54	17.9	20.0	-2.09
Jarrett Jack	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	0	-7	14.5	12.9	1.62	18.5	17.7	0.80
Carl Landry	44	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	14.2	13.5	0.74	18.0	18.2	-0.16
David Lee	76	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	3	-13	13.9	13.2	0.70	18.3	17.0	1.31
Stephen Curry	76	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.28	-12	5	-17	13.4	16.1	-2.63	18.2	17.4	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.04,0	92.5%
MIN 102, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.06,0.01,0	92.3%
TOR 95, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,0	92.2%