NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	7.8 [281]		MVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): +12.4%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.4 [366]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -19.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.05	0.09	0.01	8	79%	0.22	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.07	0.08	0.06	13	64%	0.18	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Ryan Gomes	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.06	0.02	16	53%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	15	49%	0.00	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	19	45%	0.08	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.10	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.09	0.03	19	52%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	72%	0.21	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	21	40%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	9	28%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	6	31%	-0.12	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.6	29.3	16.4	26.0	1.8	35.1	137.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +5.3%

MIN +14.4%

MIN +30.1%

CHI -3.7%

MIN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.5	106.2	92.9	106.4
season	15.8	14.8		104.3	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		107.2	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	14.4	15.6	16.2	15.2
CHI	15.3	13.8	16.3	12.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	78	80	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.24	22	-12	34	14.7	17.6	-2.92	14.4	13.7	0.71
Ryan Gomes	57	59	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	5	0	14.9	15.7	-0.72	14.7	13.7	1.03
Al Jefferson	74	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-1	12	15.3	14.9	0.43	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Randy Foye	79	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	5	0	15.3	15.0	0.29	14.5	13.2	1.30
Mike Miller	54	55	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	3	4	15.9	14.4	1.44	13.5	15.3	-1.85
Craig Smith	26	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	10	-10	16.1	14.9	1.20	17.2	13.3	3.90
Brian Cardinal	31	35	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	9	-8	16.2	14.8	1.36	13.3	14.8	-1.50
Kevin Ollie	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	10	-10	15.6	15.2	0.36	17.1	14.1	3.05
Kevin Love	44	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	13	-16	14.9	15.5	-0.65	13.9	14.7	-0.78
Rodney Carney	30	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.17	2	8	-6	14.4	15.6	-1.17	12.7	15.0	-2.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	34	31	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.09	0	-10	10	11.7	15.7	-3.93	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Lindsey Hunter	18	17	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-10	10	12.4	14.7	-2.28	18.9	14.5	4.43
Thabo Sefolosha	45	44	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-11	12	14.9	13.8	1.10	15.9	14.7	1.15
Larry Hughes	39	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-5	0	13.7	14.7	-0.94	17.2	14.0	3.13
Andres Nocioni	57	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-7	4	13.3	15.7	-2.47	16.0	14.1	1.91
Tyrus Thomas	71	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	14.6	13.6	0.93	13.9	18.7	-4.77
Aaron Gray	64	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	-2	-6	15.7	11.8	3.89	15.5	14.7	0.78
Derrick Rose	82	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.27	-12	2	-14	14.7	12.4	2.30	14.5	19.0	-4.51
Ben Gordon	85	82	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	2	-14	14.8	11.6	3.11	14.6	18.9	-4.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 116, GSW 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.37,0.11,0.02,0	92.3%
MEM 94, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.16,0.01,0	92.3%
TOR 95, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,0	92.2%