inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 105 Excitement10.8 [44] MVPDarren Collison (DAL): +42.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder 111 Comeback13.4 [223] LVPO.J. Mayo (DAL): -66.2%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darren Collison0.420,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.08,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.420.150.290.022270%0.503-0.082100%0.01
Elton Brand0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.08-0.00560%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Marion0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.04-0.041250%0.0610.034100%0.03
Chris Kaman0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.08,0.080.070.020.011455%0.0800.003100%0.02
Dominique Jones0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.05-0.00555%0.081-0.021100%0.00
Vince Carter0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.060.010.02-0.031045%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.00280%0.0500.001100%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.011137%-0.041-0.022100%0.02
Dahntay Jones-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.060.0020%-0.0900.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.660,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.4,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.66-0.18-0.50-0.02724%-0.096-0.57333%-0.18

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.130.110.001264%0.2300.004100%0.02
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.130.130.090.070.041068%0.151-0.02862%-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.05-0.01757%0.112-0.0500%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.29,-0.13,0.050.05-0.090.13-0.012037%0.132-0.08367%0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.04-0.00743%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.02
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01-0.00240%-0.011-0.0210%-0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.12-0.140.022861%0.074-0.1110100%0.09
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.04-0.0060%-0.131-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.81.032.218.830.12.733.31.017.6160.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -35.1%
OKC +26.9%
OKC +30.4%
OKC +32.2%
DAL -4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALOKCNBADALOKCNBA
this game15.415.415.4101.9106.7104.1
season14.514.8104.3109.3
opponent15.515.6100.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL15.016.112.818.415.215.4
OKC15.615.214.917.612.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dahntay Jones32300.41-0.911.320.217-132013.516.2-2.7417.014.72.34
Chris Douglas-Roberts29280.21-0.710.910.094-101416.415.01.4215.715.20.48
Dominique Jones25250.18-0.680.850.093-91215.815.20.5316.015.20.78
Jae Crowder21200.15-0.650.800.092-81016.315.11.2217.214.92.27
Elton Brand38370.02-0.520.55-0.094-101416.714.62.0615.915.10.82
Vince Carter4243-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-2-216.514.61.8515.915.00.92
Shawn Marion6870-0.500.00-0.51-0.27-82-1014.517.0-2.4915.215.8-0.64
Chris Kaman6162-0.540.04-0.58-0.28-93-1214.816.2-1.4415.115.8-0.75
O.J. Mayo7273-0.570.07-0.65-0.37-71-814.816.7-1.8915.116.1-1.00
Darren Collison7879-0.680.18-0.85-0.41-93-1215.215.8-0.5315.216.0-0.78
Dirk Nowitzki4953-0.990.49-1.49-0.61-137-2016.414.41.9213.817.0-3.25

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Martin68680.68-0.180.860.3910-41414.616.7-2.1216.113.92.28
Serge Ibaka82810.63-0.130.760.437-1815.315.7-0.4015.514.70.86
Russell Westbrook82810.63-0.130.760.437-1815.315.7-0.4015.514.70.86
Kevin Durant96950.53-0.030.550.3560615.316.5-1.2315.415.00.39
Thabo Sefolosha55530.170.33-0.150.0933016.614.02.5415.015.8-0.78
Kendrick Perkins4746-0.120.62-0.75-0.1206-616.014.81.1614.416.2-1.79
Hasheem Thabeet2222-0.130.63-0.76-0.10-17-815.715.30.4014.715.5-0.86
Reggie Jackson2222-0.130.63-0.76-0.10-17-815.715.30.4014.715.5-0.86
Nick Collison3536-0.260.76-1.01-0.05-713-2015.315.4-0.0315.715.20.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.45,0.74,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 104, HOU 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.73,189.2%
IND 100, MIA 1030.5,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.64,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.68,0.72,189.2%
PHX 110, OKC 1130.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.21,0.24,0.58,188.7%