NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	4.4 [959]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): +16.3%
Washington Wizards	87		Comeback	1.0 [844]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (WAS): -11.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	13	73%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	12	53%	0.12	5	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Greg Monroe	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	52%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Jason Maxiell	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Daye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	13	55%	0.16	3	-0.06	12	92%	0.05
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	17	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	0.07	9	58%	-0.03	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	28.4	15.7	30.3	2.5	29.5	134.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +27.4%

WAS -2.6%

DET +25.0%

WAS -4.6%

DET +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.4	100.0	92.6	104.1
season	15.7	15.1		102.3	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.6	15.7	15.4	19.7	16.0
WAS	16.4	15.0	11.7	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	43	41	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-2	13	16.0	16.0	-0.03	14.6	14.1	0.45
Austin Daye	46	43	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	0	9	16.0	15.9	0.10	14.3	14.3	-0.01
Kyle Singler	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	-5	19	15.8	16.2	-0.45	14.2	14.6	-0.43
Greg Monroe	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	5	-1	16.1	15.8	0.21	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Jason Maxiell	41	42	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-1	11	15.2	16.5	-1.35	15.4	13.5	1.86
Rodney Stuckey	69	67	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.40	-6	15	-21	16.0	15.8	0.27	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Tayshaun Prince	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.15	12	-3	15	14.2	16.7	-2.43	16.1	13.6	2.52
Will Bynum	23	21	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	10	-11	18.6	15.1	3.47	14.6	14.3	0.31
Brandon Knight	63	63	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	10	-11	15.8	16.3	-0.46	13.9	15.3	-1.39
Andre Drummond	50	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	16	-23	16.5	15.4	1.15	13.7	14.9	-1.24

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	54	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-13	17	14.7	13.8	0.97	15.8	16.2	-0.35
Martell Webster	58	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-16	23	14.1	14.7	-0.68	16.0	15.9	0.16
Shaun Livingston	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-9	9	16.1	13.8	2.27	16.9	15.7	1.14
Jan Vesely	42	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-5	1	14.1	14.5	-0.38	16.3	15.7	0.69
Emeka Okafor	58	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-6	3	14.2	14.6	-0.41	15.7	16.4	-0.76
Jordan Crawford	75	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	13.8	16.3	-2.42	15.7	16.9	-1.18
Cartier Martin	41	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	4	-17	15.1	13.8	1.32	15.6	16.3	-0.78
Kevin Seraphin	34	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	6	-21	14.2	14.4	-0.19	16.2	15.8	0.41
Bradley Beal	87	89	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	7	-23	14.1	16.6	-2.42	16.1	13.9	2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
SAS 101, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
TOR 106, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%