inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 101 Excitement3.5 [1099] MVPRobert Horry (SAS): +11.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 91 Comeback1.0 [563] LVPRasheed Wallace (POR): -8.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.010.015100%0.1100.002100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.11-0.000.02793%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02675%0.0400.00450%-0.02
Ron Mercer0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.01-0.031450%0.033-0.032100%0.01
Devin Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Hart-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00560%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04839%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.022347%-0.011-0.02967%-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff McInnis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.071177%0.061-0.024100%0.00
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Kaniel Dickens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.05-0.020.051863%-0.002-0.021070%-0.03
Qyntel Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.0450%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.031330%-0.0500.001100%0.01
Dale Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00340%-0.0500.00450%-0.03
Rasheed Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.012043%-0.043-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.71.722.114.825.11.731.7118.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +45.7%
SAS +1.9%
SAS +3.3%
POR -0.7%
POR -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPORNBASASPORNBA
this game16.917.215.7118.8108.3100.5
season15.917.1100.1101.5
opponent15.715.8103.292.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.916.519.616.016.9
POR19.417.815.716.017.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili54550.420.080.340.0712-21417.216.30.9217.616.41.17
Tim Duncan68670.420.080.330.0911-11217.016.50.4717.715.02.73
Robert Horry39410.400.100.30-0.0415-52017.316.50.7917.616.70.89
Bruce Bowen61600.370.130.24-0.0113-31616.717.5-0.8918.015.22.76
Tony Parker67660.290.210.080.2037-416.618.2-1.6717.217.10.16
Jason Hart18180.210.29-0.080.0073418.216.61.6717.117.2-0.16
Hedo Turkoglu31310.170.33-0.160.0255017.916.31.5718.316.51.81
Rasho Nesterovic48470.130.37-0.230.19-212-1417.416.21.2218.016.11.86
Malik Rose1090.050.45-0.400.08-111-1213.317.4-4.0911.317.9-6.55
Ron Mercer17160.040.46-0.410.13-313-1615.117.4-2.3114.117.9-3.85
Devin Brown760.000.50-0.500.21-717-2416.616.9-0.368.017.9-9.88
Kevin Willis540.000.50-0.500.09-313-1614.417.1-2.666.717.7-10.95

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kaniel Dickens450.00-0.500.50-0.093-13166.717.7-10.9514.417.1-2.66
Vladimir Stepania67-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-17248.017.9-9.8816.616.9-0.36
Matt Carroll67-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-17248.017.9-9.8816.616.9-0.36
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje76-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-6219.317.02.3022.516.56.02
Qyntel Woods2727-0.10-0.400.30-0.255-152015.617.9-2.2815.417.6-2.14
Dale Davis3839-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-3-417.916.61.3117.816.21.60
Damon Stoudamire5960-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.02-9-1-817.815.82.0216.418.2-1.78
Jeff McInnis6970-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.24-3-7417.117.3-0.1916.916.90.05
Zach Randolph7072-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.16-6-4-217.316.40.9016.419.7-3.29
Ruben Patterson3433-0.34-0.16-0.180.10-155-2018.116.61.5317.016.90.10
Wesley Person3433-0.39-0.11-0.270.05-155-2017.816.71.0817.916.31.64
Rasheed Wallace6666-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-133-1618.014.13.9017.215.81.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 103, ATL 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,096.1%
CHI 98, CHA 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.9%
TOR 106, HOU 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%