NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	3.3 [1134]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +14.7%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	1.0 [484]		LVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): -6.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	12	83%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.02	0.06	7	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	74%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Juan Dixon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	53%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Uros Slokar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jorge Garbajosa	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	9	80%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	7	71%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	20	54%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	26.3	15.8	23.0	2.8	26.4	117.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +43.0%

HOU -0.6%

TOR +4.2%

TOR +2.4%

TOR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	18.3	15.4	15.4	124.7	104.7	104.5
season	15.2	15.6		104.7	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.6	16.2	21.1	18.4	18.3
HOU	17.5	15.1	13.1	15.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	54	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	-3	22	17.8	19.2	-1.47	14.9	16.3	-1.42
Andrea Bargnani	57	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-4	24	18.6	17.6	0.97	14.8	16.8	-2.00
Kris Humphries	37	39	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	0	16	17.6	18.9	-1.29	15.6	15.3	0.29
Jose Calderon	38	40	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.21	20	-4	24	18.1	18.5	-0.44	15.4	15.4	0.08
Jorge Garbajosa	62	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.13	16	0	16	17.7	19.8	-2.04	15.5	15.3	0.22
Chris Bosh	56	59	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	16	-16	18.6	17.7	0.92	15.5	15.3	0.22
T.J. Ford	47	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	17	-18	18.9	17.6	1.29	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Morris Peterson	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	15	-14	18.7	18.0	0.72	15.8	15.1	0.64
Rasho Nesterovic	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	18	-20	19.5	17.6	1.92	16.4	14.9	1.58
Darrick Martin	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	15.5	18.4	-2.86	17.0	15.4	1.63
Joey Graham	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	15.5	18.4	-2.86	17.0	15.4	1.63
Uros Slokar	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	15.5	18.4	-2.86	17.0	15.4	1.63

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vassilis Spanoulis	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	16.3	15.3	1.00	19.4	18.2	1.24
Jake Tsakalidis	9	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-20	24	17.8	15.1	2.65	19.9	18.1	1.86
Dikembe Mutombo	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-7	-2	16.2	15.1	1.13	18.7	18.1	0.55
Juwan Howard	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-14	12	15.5	15.2	0.35	18.8	17.4	1.37
John Lucas III	22	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-8	0	15.7	15.3	0.37	17.8	18.5	-0.71
Rafer Alston	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-11	6	15.4	15.6	-0.22	18.6	17.2	1.32
Tracy McGrady	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	15.4	15.4	0.04	18.5	17.7	0.82
Charles Hayes	47	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-9	2	14.6	16.4	-1.74	18.1	18.5	-0.48
Bonzi Wells	32	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	2	-20	15.3	15.5	-0.20	17.7	18.6	-0.87
Shane Battier	70	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-9	2	15.2	16.2	-1.04	18.1	19.2	-1.18
Luther Head	34	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.25	-23	7	-30	15.3	15.5	-0.19	17.0	19.1	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DEN 82, ORL 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0	95.9%
TOR 103, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%