NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	8.2 [228]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +28.6%
Washington Wizards	97		Comeback	1.4 [783]		LVP	Martell Webster (WAS): -14.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.29	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.16	-0.01	14	77%	0.35	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
David Lee	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.03	-0.01	-0.06	16	60%	0.18	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.06
Stephen Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	0.01	0.06	0.02	15	59%	0.16	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.06
Jarrett Jack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	5	67%	0.12	5	-0.19	8	75%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.00	7	19%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	6	100%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	17	58%	0.22	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	17	42%	-0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	10	37%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	26.2	15.5	25.5	2.7	44.0	137.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +14.0%

GSW +36.4%

GSW +27.8%

WAS -29.4%

GSW +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	WAS	NBA	GSW	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	15.4	101.0	98.0	104.1
season	14.6	15.1		104.6	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	15.3	13.3	15.5	14.3
WAS	15.4	14.1	13.9	15.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	45	45	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-3	10	15.0	13.7	1.30	15.7	13.7	1.93
Klay Thompson	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-1	6	13.8	16.8	-3.04	14.7	14.3	0.41
Jarrett Jack	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-1	6	14.5	14.1	0.41	14.4	14.9	-0.45
Charles Jenkins	32	32	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	-3	10	14.0	14.5	-0.49	14.3	14.8	-0.45
David Lee	75	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	5	-6	14.2	14.8	-0.57	14.2	15.8	-1.56
Stephen Curry	76	75	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	9	-14	14.4	14.2	0.21	14.1	16.3	-2.21
Festus Ezeli	30	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	0	4	12.9	14.9	-2.00	14.7	14.6	0.10
Carl Landry	51	50	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	15.0	13.6	1.37	14.9	14.3	0.61
Kent Bazemore	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	0.0	14.3	-14.33	2.0	14.7	-12.74
Harrison Barnes	49	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	6	-8	14.9	13.7	1.19	15.3	14.0	1.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-1	-2	14.1	14.7	-0.56	14.6	14.3	0.25
Emeka Okafor	25	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-2	0	14.6	14.6	-0.02	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Cartier Martin	50	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-5	6	15.1	14.1	1.06	15.0	13.7	1.34
Chris Singleton	75	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-9	14	14.2	15.8	-1.55	14.5	13.9	0.55
Martell Webster	54	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-4	4	14.1	15.2	-1.07	13.4	15.5	-2.07
Jordan Crawford	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-7	10	14.3	15.5	-1.19	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Nene	42	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-4	4	14.9	14.4	0.42	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Shaun Livingston	29	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	6	-16	15.8	14.1	1.71	13.6	14.7	-1.09
Kevin Seraphin	56	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	7	-18	14.9	14.2	0.76	14.5	14.1	0.43
Bradley Beal	83	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	14.5	15.1	-0.53	14.8	11.9	2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.22,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 130, PHX 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.11,0.01,0	91.8%
PHI 109, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	91.7%
DET 100, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.08,0	91.6%