NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	130		Excitement	8.1 [217]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +36.6%
Phoenix Suns	124		Comeback	1.2 [490]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): -10.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.37	0.14	0.22	-0.00	25	68%	0.51	5	-0.15	10	80%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.29	0.18	0.14	0.03	19	71%	0.33	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.11	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	17	56%	0.16	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	9	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.20	0.13	0.03	24	63%	0.34	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.08
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	9	58%	0.16	3	-0.08	8	37%	-0.10
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.06	0.02	17	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.05
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.06	0.04	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DJ Strawberry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	16	52%	0.08	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.01	13	65%	0.08	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	2.7	35.1	18.7	27.6	3.8	42.2	161.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +58.5%

PHX -18.1%

PHX -1.0%

LAL +5.1%

LAL +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	13.7	15.4	123.8	121.6	105.7
season	14.6	13.8		110.6	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.2		106.5	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	13.1	16.0	13.9	14.1
PHX	12.4	15.2	14.6	12.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	88	86	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-5	16	14.0	14.7	-0.67	13.6	14.1	-0.46
Pau Gasol	73	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	1	4	14.7	12.9	1.82	14.0	13.0	1.02
Kobe Bryant	100	96	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	14.2	12.0	2.25	13.7	12.7	1.07
Sasha Vujacic	55	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	4	-2	13.4	15.0	-1.60	13.5	13.8	-0.28
Jordan Farmar	40	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	1	4	13.9	14.3	-0.31	13.8	13.6	0.17
Derek Fisher	65	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	5	-4	14.3	13.9	0.31	13.6	13.8	-0.17
Vladimir Radmanovic	50	51	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	0	6	15.0	13.4	1.60	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Ronny Turiaf	24	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	5	-4	13.2	14.4	-1.27	13.3	13.8	-0.45
DJ Mbenga	8	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	8	-10	12.0	14.3	-2.32	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Luke Walton	22	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	11	-16	14.1	14.2	-0.07	13.7	13.7	0.01

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	77	78	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-8	10	14.2	12.0	2.22	14.4	13.4	1.04
DJ Strawberry	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-5	4	11.4	13.9	-2.52	15.2	14.0	1.16
Boris Diaw	65	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	13.0	14.9	-1.95	13.1	15.9	-2.75
Shaquille O'Neal	56	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-5	4	14.2	13.0	1.27	15.3	12.5	2.84
Amar'e Stoudemire	89	91	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-4	2	13.5	14.8	-1.25	14.4	12.4	2.06
Leandro Barbosa	67	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	13.7	13.5	0.20	13.3	15.8	-2.49
Steve Nash	69	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	13.8	13.3	0.51	14.2	14.0	0.22
Grant Hill	77	78	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.32	-12	6	-18	13.6	14.0	-0.38	14.0	14.5	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.11,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 95, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.24,0.15,0	93.1%
IND 105, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.02,0	92.9%
DET 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.04,0	92.2%