NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	4.3 [982]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +23.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Comeback	1.6 [1010]		LVP	Dwight Howard (LAL): -8.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	8	71%	0.12	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.10	8	87%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.09	24	60%	0.08	5	-0.10	10	90%	0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Darius Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	17	56%	0.02	6	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.04	-0.04	19	67%	0.25	3	-0.01	16	87%	0.06
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.03	-0.03	26	57%	0.20	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	72%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.0	34.5	17.8	26.2	2.8	43.2	155.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +41.1%

OKC +0.7%

LAL -4.0%

OKC +14.6%

LAL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.4	110.2	116.3	104.1
season	14.9	14.8		106.0	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		100.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	15.7	15.6	13.8	14.7
OKC	16.2	12.0	16.4	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Morris	19	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-3	0	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.2	14.8	-0.63
Jodie Meeks	41	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.46	11	-17	28	13.4	15.6	-2.26	14.7	14.6	0.10
Devin Ebanks	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.13	-9	3	-12	14.0	14.9	-0.90	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Antawn Jamison	60	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	0	-6	14.3	15.4	-1.09	14.6	14.8	-0.15
Jordan Hill	31	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	8	-22	16.5	13.9	2.70	14.2	14.9	-0.75
Metta World Peace	74	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	15.3	13.0	2.26	14.8	14.5	0.27
Dwight Howard	84	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-5	4	14.7	14.7	-0.01	14.9	13.3	1.59
Kobe Bryant	88	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-4	2	14.8	13.9	0.90	14.9	13.1	1.76
Chris Duhon	72	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-4	2	14.7	14.7	0.02	14.9	13.9	1.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	89	89	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	-3	12	14.6	15.3	-0.72	15.0	11.8	3.22
Russell Westbrook	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	0	6	14.8	14.1	0.76	14.9	13.7	1.21
Kendrick Perkins	48	46	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	4	-2	14.9	14.5	0.42	14.9	14.6	0.31
Serge Ibaka	61	61	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	2	2	15.0	14.1	0.92	15.0	14.1	0.91
Kevin Martin	52	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-3	12	14.2	15.2	-0.96	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Thabo Sefolosha	71	69	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.39	-5	11	-16	15.2	13.3	1.97	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Hasheem Thabeet	36	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	3	0	14.7	14.7	0.02	15.1	14.5	0.56
Nick Collison	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	4	-2	13.8	15.2	-1.39	13.9	15.2	-1.33
Eric Maynor	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	6	-6	13.4	14.9	-1.49	14.6	14.7	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DAL 74, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
IND 108, MIA 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.58,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.95,0.99,1	96.1%