NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	3.9 [1025]		MVP	Glen Davis (ORL): +10.8%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	1.2 [570]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (DET): -11.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	5	92%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gigi Datome	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	55%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	19	53%	0.00	2	-0.03	9	33%	-0.06
Rodney Stuckey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	13	52%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	-0.08	23	30%	-0.07	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.01	12	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.00	0.04	10	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	0.07	11	60%	0.00	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	29.0	15.4	27.2	2.0	29.1	129.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +25.2%

ORL +7.5%

ORL +7.7%

ORL +9.8%

DET -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	16.2	15.1	103.2	117.9	105.2
season	15.0	15.3		104.7	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.3	13.5	13.9	14.8	14.1
ORL	15.7	15.3	17.4	16.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gigi Datome	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	7.3	14.3	-7.00	23.7	16.0	7.71
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.28	7	-21	28	13.1	14.5	-1.35	16.2	16.2	-0.06
Will Bynum	8	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-10	6	12.9	14.2	-1.35	13.0	16.5	-3.45
Jonas Jerebko	18	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-17	20	12.3	14.5	-2.27	17.1	16.0	1.12
Rodney Stuckey	55	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-6	-2	13.6	14.8	-1.27	15.7	16.8	-1.06
Greg Monroe	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	13.7	15.1	-1.41	15.6	17.5	-1.86
Josh Smith	81	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-1	-12	14.4	12.5	1.90	16.2	16.3	-0.12
Andre Drummond	73	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	14.9	11.5	3.34	17.0	13.4	3.56
Brandon Jennings	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	2	-18	14.5	11.4	3.11	16.2	16.2	0.00
Kyle Singler	62	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.21	-22	8	-30	14.7	12.9	1.80	16.1	16.4	-0.36

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	-3	20	16.6	15.7	0.87	15.0	13.0	2.09
Glen Davis	49	50	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	1	12	17.0	15.4	1.57	15.0	13.2	1.78
Arron Afflalo	61	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	-4	22	16.6	15.4	1.23	14.9	12.7	2.22
Victor Oladipo	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	7	0	16.1	16.3	-0.23	13.2	15.4	-2.11
Doron Lamb	34	35	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	8	-2	15.4	16.7	-1.27	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Jameer Nelson	57	56	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	3	8	17.0	15.0	2.04	14.5	13.6	0.89
Maurice Harkless	53	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	9	-4	14.9	17.8	-2.84	13.0	15.4	-2.42
E'Twaun Moore	34	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	16	-18	15.2	16.7	-1.50	13.5	14.5	-1.01
Kyle O'Quinn	42	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	17	-20	15.7	16.6	-0.87	13.0	15.0	-2.09
Tobias Harris	36	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	16	-18	16.8	15.8	0.98	14.8	13.7	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,1	96.7%
LAL 108, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DAL 94, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%