NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	74		Excitement	3.6 [1111]		MVP	Linas Kleiza (TOR): +5.6%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	1.4 [407]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (DAL): -14.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	0.00	0.10	6	93%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	7	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Dominique Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Darren Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	18	39%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.03	6	-0.11	6	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	13	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	14	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	3	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	8	11%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	41%	-0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	33.5	17.6	28.1	2.7	29.4	139.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.2%

DAL -0.6%

TOR +1.9%

TOR +18.5%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	TOR	NBA	DAL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	18.5	15.4	83.1	109.2	104.1
season	14.5	16.1		104.3	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.6		105.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.7	14.2	15.4	15.4	14.3
TOR	15.6	17.1	18.2	24.6	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard James	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-26	31	13.3	14.4	-1.09	31.6	17.2	14.47
Rodrigue Beaubois	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-26	31	13.3	14.4	-1.09	31.6	17.2	14.47
Brandan Wright	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-29	37	13.4	14.6	-1.16	21.7	17.3	4.37
Dominique Jones	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-20	19	13.9	14.3	-0.44	31.1	16.7	14.43
Elton Brand	31	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.25	-13	-8	-5	14.1	14.4	-0.25	15.8	19.8	-4.03
O.J. Mayo	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-12	3	14.2	14.5	-0.26	16.7	21.8	-5.11
Dahntay Jones	42	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-11	1	13.9	14.6	-0.73	20.0	17.0	2.98
Shawn Marion	59	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-3	-15	14.1	14.6	-0.46	16.5	22.1	-5.66
Vince Carter	50	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-6	-9	15.1	13.3	1.84	17.4	19.8	-2.38
Chris Kaman	51	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	-8	-5	14.5	14.0	0.56	17.9	19.2	-1.28
Darren Collison	44	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.26	-22	1	-23	14.9	13.7	1.13	16.5	20.2	-3.68
Derek Fisher	64	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.24	-22	1	-23	14.2	14.4	-0.21	17.9	19.9	-2.00

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	51	54	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	-1	23	18.7	18.2	0.44	15.4	12.6	2.74
DeMar DeRozan	61	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	8	5	16.7	22.7	-6.00	14.2	14.6	-0.40
John Lucas III	39	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	2	17	19.9	17.3	2.56	14.5	14.1	0.33
Terrence Ross	39	39	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	6	9	20.3	17.0	3.35	14.2	14.4	-0.15
Amir Johnson	44	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	8	5	17.7	19.2	-1.48	14.6	13.9	0.72
Jose Calderon	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	16	-11	18.3	18.8	-0.51	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Ed Davis	45	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	17	-13	17.3	19.7	-2.43	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Alan Anderson	36	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.10	8	13	-5	18.4	18.6	-0.21	15.4	13.5	1.90
Mickael Pietrus	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	18	-15	18.4	18.5	-0.14	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Jonas Valanciunas	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	19	-17	19.3	18.0	1.25	12.5	15.2	-2.75
Quincy Acy	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	35.3	17.9	17.45	12.5	14.3	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 83, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CLE 90, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DET 74, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%