NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	74		Excitement	3.1 [1151]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +7.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.4 [929]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -13.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	8	44%	0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	10	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.03	17	39%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	-0.07	11	45%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	4	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	23	63%	0.10	5	-0.11	13	85%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	30.3	15.7	27.3	2.5	25.2	129.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.5%

DET -0.8%

PHI +8.1%

PHI +1.8%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	18.0	15.2	15.5	86.0	103.4	101.6
season	16.8	15.3		101.7	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.7	20.0	15.6	17.8	18.0
PHI	16.5	12.7	13.8	18.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	15.0	18.1	-3.15	15.8	15.1	0.71
Tayshaun Prince	49	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-15	13	16.5	19.9	-3.43	15.6	14.7	0.82
Zeljko Rebraca	31	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-10	3	17.9	18.0	-0.15	16.9	14.3	2.52
Corliss Williamson	39	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-10	3	19.5	16.7	2.79	15.2	15.2	0.03
Michael Curry	30	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-9	1	18.6	17.6	1.03	15.7	14.8	0.92
Jon Barry	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-11	5	16.4	19.5	-3.14	14.9	15.4	-0.56
Mehmet Okur	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	-3	-11	17.8	18.4	-0.63	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Clifford Robinson	50	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.01	-12	-5	-7	18.3	17.5	0.85	14.2	16.7	-2.52
Richard Hamilton	58	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	-2	-13	19.6	14.7	4.87	15.6	14.2	1.45
Chauncey Billups	59	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-1	-15	17.6	18.8	-1.18	14.3	17.2	-2.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	79	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-1	19	15.1	15.8	-0.68	18.3	15.3	2.94
Kenny Thomas	67	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	3	11	15.4	14.4	0.97	17.9	18.2	-0.36
Aaron McKie	51	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	6	5	15.1	15.2	-0.13	17.6	18.5	-0.92
Derrick Coleman	53	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	5	7	15.1	15.2	-0.10	17.7	18.3	-0.59
Eric Snow	54	56	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	7	3	16.0	13.9	2.05	17.3	19.2	-1.85
Tyrone Hill	35	36	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	8	1	15.1	15.2	-0.09	18.5	17.6	0.92
Greg Buckner	42	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	11	-5	15.5	14.9	0.54	17.8	18.1	-0.26
John Salmons	38	37	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	11	-5	13.9	16.1	-2.15	19.0	17.2	1.77
Brian Skinner	16	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	16	-15	13.7	15.5	-1.74	18.9	17.8	1.09
Efthimios Rentzias	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.4	15.0	2.36	15.0	18.1	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DET 65, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAL 75, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%