NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	12.2 [17]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +34.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	3.4 [320]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -33.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.34,0.34	0.08	0.26	-0.00	12	68%	0.40	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Chris Wilcox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	65%	0.14	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.08
Courtney Lee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.00	4	62%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.05	-0.18	-0.01	24	45%	-0.07	4	-0.15	12	67%	-0.04
Jason Terry	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.13	-0.20	-0.01	12	16%	-0.31	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.34	-0.06	-0.27	0.01	14	53%	-0.18	5	-0.16	2	0%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.12	0.00	18	42%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	18	39%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	5	57%	0.02	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.05
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.00	-0.18	0.01	13	43%	-0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3,-0.37,-0.42,-0.53,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.21	-0.00	26	45%	0.03	4	-0.32	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.8	29.3	16.6	32.3	2.6	44.2	2.4	12.2	165.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -19.9%

PHI +10.0%

PHI +39.6%

PHI +14.0%

PHI +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	17.0	15.4	91.3	94.1	104.1
season	14.9	15.5		101.2	100.5
opponent	15.7	16.2		104.2	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	13.4	15.7	16.1	12.2	14.2	14.3
PHI	13.8	18.6	15.9	18.5	21.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	30	32	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.13	4	-5	9	13.6	14.5	-0.87	15.2	17.7	-2.49
Jared Sullinger	26	25	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.01	5	-6	11	14.8	14.1	0.69	16.8	17.0	-0.20
Courtney Lee	40	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-6	11	14.0	14.4	-0.41	16.6	17.1	-0.48
Jeff Green	55	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-4	7	13.4	15.2	-1.75	17.4	16.4	0.98
Paul Pierce	89	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.52	7	-8	15	13.9	16.5	-2.60	17.2	15.6	1.58
Jason Terry	85	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	5	-11	14.4	13.8	0.58	17.4	14.9	2.44
Brandon Bass	44	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	11	-23	15.7	13.2	2.50	16.2	17.6	-1.43
Rajon Rondo	81	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	0	-1	14.3	14.2	0.09	16.6	18.3	-1.62
Kevin Garnett	65	61	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.52	-10	9	-19	14.5	13.8	0.78	17.7	15.7	1.99

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	59	60	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.61	4	-3	7	17.9	15.6	2.28	14.9	13.3	1.59
Jason Richardson	77	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-4	9	17.1	16.5	0.65	14.3	13.9	0.44
Thaddeus Young	83	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	0	1	17.2	15.6	1.63	14.7	12.2	2.53
Evan Turner	87	89	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	1	-1	16.7	18.8	-2.13	14.0	15.8	-1.77
Damien Wilkins	26	25	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	2	-3	18.2	16.5	1.62	14.6	14.1	0.46
Jrue Holiday	83	85	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	-3	7	16.6	18.5	-1.89	14.4	13.4	0.98
Spencer Hawes	44	43	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	2	-3	16.3	17.5	-1.16	13.8	14.6	-0.83
Dorell Wright	30	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	6	-11	17.3	16.8	0.50	13.2	14.7	-1.45
Arnett Moultrie	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	3	-5	13.7	17.6	-3.80	12.1	14.6	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.39,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 90, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.73,1	89.1%
POR 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,1	88.6%
TOR 101, CHH 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.99,1	88.5%