NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	90		Excitement	10.5 [35]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): +27.5%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	3.0 [116]		LVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): -44.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Otis Thorpe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.04	-0.10	0.05	-0.01	13	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Jamal Mashburn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.12,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	21	53%	0.08	4	-0.16	5	60%	-0.05
Baron Davis	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	17	51%	-0.07	2	-0.08	5	20%	-0.07
P.J. Brown	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21	-0.05	-0.16	0.01	9	40%	-0.09	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.44	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.44	-0.10	-0.33	0.01	16	42%	-0.36	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.28	0.28	0.04	0.23	-0.00	7	69%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.09
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.02	22	62%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Tarlac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	8	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	0.00	-0.22	-0.01	22	57%	-0.06	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	25.3	15.5	26.2	1.8	30.0	1.5	12.1	136.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +76.1%

CHH -15.2%

CHH -9.7%

CHI +6.1%

CHH -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	16.6	15.5	90.9	97.9	100.9
season	15.8	16.4		99.7	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.6		104.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHH	13.4	17.6	17.4	16.8	16.8	16.2
CHI	16.1	18.4	14.0	19.4	14.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	32	31	0.37	-0.87	1.23	-0.10	16	-19	35	13.1	17.7	-4.59	16.6	16.5	0.03
Eddie Robinson	47	46	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.09	11	-14	25	15.0	17.3	-2.31	15.8	17.3	-1.50
Lee Nailon	4	5	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	6	-15	29.2	15.7	13.57	8.4	17.0	-8.61
P.J. Brown	81	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-8	13	15.7	18.8	-3.18	16.9	15.0	1.92
Otis Thorpe	18	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	5	-13	18.8	15.7	3.18	15.0	16.9	-1.92
Jamal Mashburn	89	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-7	11	15.5	23.1	-7.64	16.8	14.6	2.19
Baron Davis	87	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-2	1	15.8	19.7	-3.91	17.5	11.3	6.18
David Wesley	70	68	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.26	-14	11	-25	17.9	12.3	5.60	16.3	17.2	-0.88
Elden Campbell	67	64	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.31	-19	16	-35	17.7	13.1	4.59	16.5	16.6	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	74	76	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.39	13	-10	23	16.9	15.2	1.76	17.1	13.3	3.76
Elton Brand	86	89	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	-1	5	16.4	18.0	-1.59	16.2	16.9	-0.74
Ron Mercer	90	94	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-2	7	16.7	14.6	2.07	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Jamal Crawford	47	53	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-2	7	17.6	15.5	2.14	16.7	15.7	1.04
Metta World Peace	56	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	-3	9	16.7	16.3	0.42	17.6	14.3	3.27
Fred Hoiberg	44	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.28	-5	8	-13	16.1	16.9	-0.83	14.6	17.7	-3.07
Bryce Drew	48	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	5	-7	15.5	17.6	-2.14	15.7	16.7	-1.04
Dalibor Bagaric	6	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	7	-11	24.8	16.0	8.83	11.4	16.6	-5.17
Dragan Tarlac	24	26	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.09	-7	10	-17	13.8	17.5	-3.65	15.2	16.6	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.77,0.98,1	89.2%
ORL 96, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.98,1	89.2%
BOS 94, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.39,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.42,1	89.1%