NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	77		Excitement	5.4 [715]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (DAL): +17.2%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	3.7 [650]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -16.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.05	-0.03	14	57%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.07	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.02	11	41%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.03	-0.07	17	23%	-0.14	3	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.05	0.07	14	40%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.08	0.05	21	63%	0.20	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	6	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.03	12	65%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	8	39%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	11	45%	0.00	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	8	21%	-0.05	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	8	12%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	28.3	17.4	27.4	1.8	24.2	127.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.6%

DET -5.6%

DAL +10.5%

DET -3.6%

DET -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	DAL	NBA	DET	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.1	15.4	81.1	97.9	104.1
season	15.7	14.5		102.3	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.9	16.9	16.5	17.3	16.4
DAL	17.2	13.1	10.8	16.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.13	-5	-10	5	17.4	16.1	1.27	14.6	13.9	0.73
Andre Drummond	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-16	17	16.2	16.4	-0.23	16.6	13.3	3.36
Rodney Stuckey	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-16	17	16.1	16.7	-0.58	15.9	11.8	4.18
Charlie Villanueva	28	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-7	-1	17.0	16.1	0.92	15.8	13.4	2.40
Jason Maxiell	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-9	3	15.8	18.2	-2.33	14.0	14.3	-0.27
Brandon Knight	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-5	-5	15.7	18.2	-2.46	13.7	15.2	-1.52
Greg Monroe	66	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	2	-19	16.8	15.5	1.26	12.6	17.6	-5.03
Tayshaun Prince	73	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	-5	-5	16.1	17.4	-1.27	13.9	14.6	-0.73
Kyle Singler	67	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.10	-21	6	-27	17.3	14.3	2.98	13.0	16.6	-3.56

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	69	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	1	13	13.1	16.7	-3.55	16.6	15.8	0.80
Vince Carter	39	38	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-1	17	15.2	13.3	1.89	18.3	15.1	3.17
Elton Brand	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	7	1	15.6	12.2	3.41	17.2	15.4	1.86
Derek Fisher	48	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	2	11	13.1	15.1	-2.03	16.4	16.4	0.05
Bernard James	31	29	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	6	3	15.4	13.4	2.01	18.8	15.3	3.41
Darren Collison	51	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	7	1	15.2	12.7	2.45	17.2	15.6	1.60
Chris Kaman	39	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	4	7	12.5	15.2	-2.63	15.5	17.1	-1.55
Shawn Marion	64	65	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	11	-7	13.1	16.1	-2.97	15.5	18.2	-2.69
Jae Crowder	63	64	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	15	-15	13.8	14.5	-0.71	14.9	19.4	-4.45
Dahntay Jones	14	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	23	-31	16.0	13.7	2.26	12.3	17.0	-4.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.3,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.98,1,1	94.8%
SAC 88, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1	93.6%
TOR 115, SEA 123	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.96,1	93.6%