NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	5.5 [685]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (SEA): +24.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	123		Comeback	3.0 [209]		LVP	Earl Watson (SEA): -10.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.06	12	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	15	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.07	-0.01	0.06	10	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	-0.02	0.07	10	80%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	21	50%	0.06	5	-0.08	10	80%	0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Andrea Bargnani	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.06	-0.04	14	74%	0.26	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	7	94%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	4	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	18	73%	0.21	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	56%	-0.00	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.6	28.1	15.6	26.2	1.8	33.3	130.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.9%

SEA +9.1%

TOR -3.4%

SEA +4.0%

SEA +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SEA	NBA	TOR	SEA	NBA
this game	14.1	14.2	15.4	113.9	120.6	105.7
season	15.6	14.5		108.5	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.7		107.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.7	14.0	15.8	12.1	14.1
SEA	12.5	15.5	13.0	16.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	62	61	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.26	13	-21	34	13.5	15.2	-1.78	14.8	13.4	1.45
Jamario Moon	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-5	2	16.2	13.6	2.61	14.5	14.2	0.31
Juan Dixon	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-7	6	12.8	14.5	-1.71	16.6	13.5	3.06
Rasho Nesterovic	24	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.5	13.4	3.04	14.6	14.1	0.54
Andrea Bargnani	28	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-4	0	13.8	14.3	-0.49	17.0	13.3	3.71
Chris Bosh	90	92	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-4	0	14.4	11.6	2.81	14.1	15.7	-1.62
Jason Kapono	58	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	12.9	15.8	-2.88	14.3	14.2	0.13
Jose Calderon	77	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	14.5	12.8	1.71	13.5	16.6	-3.06
Kris Humphries	46	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	1	-10	13.6	14.6	-1.01	12.6	15.5	-2.97
Anthony Parker	74	76	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.21	-16	8	-24	14.4	13.4	1.05	13.7	15.7	-2.01

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	54	53	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-2	12	14.2	14.2	0.01	13.7	14.6	-0.97
Nick Collison	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	14.1	14.6	-0.44	13.4	16.0	-2.61
Kevin Durant	81	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	13.8	16.0	-2.28	14.5	12.8	1.68
Earl Watson	53	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	-1	10	13.2	15.4	-2.26	14.9	13.3	1.57
Jeff Green	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	7	-6	13.7	14.6	-0.92	12.1	15.5	-3.44
Kurt Thomas	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	-1	10	14.8	13.7	1.04	15.6	12.8	2.79
Chris Wilcox	38	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	2	4	14.5	14.1	0.38	16.2	12.9	3.36
Luke Ridnour	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	11	-14	15.5	13.0	2.44	13.1	15.1	-1.93
Damien Wilkins	52	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.12	7	1	6	14.7	13.7	1.05	14.2	14.0	0.19
Mickael Gelabale	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	8	-8	14.6	14.2	0.46	14.2	14.1	0.06
Johan Petro	3	3	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	12	-16	13.0	14.3	-1.27	10.0	14.3	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
WAS 79, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
DET 81, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	94.1%