NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	80		Excitement	5.7 [642]		MVP	Randy Livingston (HOU): +10.1%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	3.3 [460]		LVP	Michael Smith (SAC): -21.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duane Causwell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	19	47%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.04	0.05	21	53%	0.10	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	10	37%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	15	30%	-0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Michael Smith	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.07	0.01	5	36%	-0.08	4	-0.13	4	25%	-0.05

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	5	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.04	-0.07	17	65%	0.19	6	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	15	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Charles Barkley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	8	70%	0.03	3	-0.09	7	43%	-0.08
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	11	28%	-0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.1	2.0	26.3	16.6	29.2	2.3	28.6	139.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.7%

HOU +8.5%

SAC -21.9%

HOU +28.0%

HOU +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.6	84.2	95.7	104.4
season	15.4	15.5		102.4	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.6	16.9	15.3	17.0	15.3
HOU	15.5	17.4	12.3	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Gamble	32	31	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	14.7	15.7	-1.01	16.9	14.5	2.39
Tyus Edney	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-8	7	12.5	16.2	-3.74	15.8	15.2	0.60
Duane Causwell	35	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-8	7	17.3	14.1	3.19	17.3	14.2	3.04
Billy Owens	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-5	1	14.6	16.0	-1.45	14.4	16.3	-1.94
Bobby Hurley	7	5	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	20.6	14.9	5.66	15.8	15.3	0.52
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	66	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	15.7	14.4	1.31	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Corliss Williamson	45	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-6	3	16.8	14.0	2.72	16.0	14.7	1.37
Olden Polynice	76	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	14.6	18.2	-3.61	14.6	18.4	-3.82
Michael Smith	68	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	3	-15	15.2	15.7	-0.58	15.4	15.2	0.22
Mitch Richmond	77	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	3	-15	15.2	16.1	-0.90	14.7	18.1	-3.40

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	86	88	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-3	15	15.1	17.7	-2.60	15.0	18.9	-3.81
Matt Maloney	53	54	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.03	17	-8	25	14.6	16.2	-1.56	13.8	17.3	-3.50
Hakeem Olajuwon	72	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	0	9	15.6	14.4	1.20	16.2	11.9	4.28
Charles Barkley	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	0	9	15.0	16.0	-0.97	14.0	18.3	-4.34
Matt Bullard	49	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	4	1	13.7	17.1	-3.33	15.5	15.2	0.27
Othella Harrington	42	43	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	6	-3	15.3	15.3	0.04	16.5	14.3	2.17
Sam Mack	37	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	12	-15	17.5	13.9	3.61	16.4	14.6	1.87
Mario Elie	20	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	8	-7	15.9	15.2	0.75	12.4	16.1	-3.63
Randy Livingston	40	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	17	-25	16.2	14.6	1.56	17.3	13.8	3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 88, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DET 77, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.3,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
GSW 80, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%