NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	6.8 [441]		MVP	JJ Hickson (POR): +11.1%
Brooklyn Nets	98		Comeback	2.0 [820]		LVP	Joel Freeland (POR): -13.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	11	73%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	18	53%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	13	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	12	50%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Joel Freeland	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	74%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	14	52%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	43%	0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.06
Josh Childress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	13	47%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.11	0.02	19	54%	-0.02	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	29.3	15.0	23.2	2.7	34.0	132.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -10.6%

BKN +6.9%

BKN +34.2%

BKN +16.2%

BKN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BKN	NBA	POR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.4	93.4	106.5	104.1
season	15.8	16.5		104.3	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.2	14.7	16.3	17.2	15.8
BKN	14.2	15.3	15.7	17.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	18	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-16	19	14.4	16.1	-1.67	13.7	16.2	-2.55
Nolan Smith	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	8.0	16.0	-8.05	17.7	15.6	2.04
Luke Babbitt	3	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-14	15	8.0	16.0	-8.05	21.0	15.4	5.61
Jared Jeffries	36	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-16	19	15.3	16.1	-0.74	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Joel Freeland	21	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-14	15	14.4	16.2	-1.76	16.7	15.3	1.39
Ronnie Price	32	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-10	7	15.4	16.0	-0.63	14.8	16.2	-1.42
Meyers Leonard	59	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-6	-1	15.7	15.8	-0.10	15.2	16.4	-1.18
Wesley Matthews	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-7	1	16.0	14.9	1.05	15.7	15.6	0.10
Sasha Pavlovic	18	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-8	3	13.9	16.2	-2.29	16.3	15.5	0.84
Damian Lillard	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-1	-11	16.3	14.9	1.40	16.0	15.1	0.94
Nicolas Batum	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.02	-17	4	-21	16.5	13.3	3.11	16.1	14.4	1.75
JJ Hickson	63	62	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.09	-24	11	-35	16.9	13.3	3.60	15.8	15.6	0.19

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	53	54	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.12	21	-8	29	15.4	16.1	-0.66	16.8	14.2	2.59
Joe Johnson	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-4	21	15.2	17.3	-2.05	16.8	12.0	4.78
Reggie Evans	45	42	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	9	-5	15.5	15.9	-0.45	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Keith Bogans	35	33	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	14	-15	15.9	15.6	0.31	15.5	16.0	-0.51
Deron Williams	62	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	2	9	16.3	14.5	1.77	15.9	15.4	0.51
CJ Watson	27	25	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	10	-7	14.1	16.3	-2.19	16.3	15.6	0.74
Kris Humphries	44	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	3	7	15.8	15.6	0.19	16.5	15.0	1.50
Gerald Wallace	51	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	6	1	16.3	15.0	1.34	16.1	15.3	0.83
MarShon Brooks	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	10	-7	15.5	15.8	-0.27	12.6	17.0	-4.43
Andray Blatche	39	37	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	21	-29	16.1	15.4	0.66	14.2	16.8	-2.59
Josh Childress	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	17.7	15.6	2.04	8.0	16.0	-8.05
Tyshawn Taylor	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	17.7	15.6	2.04	8.0	16.0	-8.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.92,1	93.3%
CHI 77, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.2%
MIL 86, GSW 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%