NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	86		Excitement	6.1 [564]		MVP	Joe Smith (GSW): +9.8%
Golden State Warriors	95		Comeback	2.7 [535]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -16.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	10	67%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Andrew Lang	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.06	0.04	25	60%	0.06	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	64%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.03	-0.04	11	17%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	15	39%	-0.07	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	24	52%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	2	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	20	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	10	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.6	25.1	15.6	26.6	2.6	28.2	120.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.4%

GSW +8.3%

MIL -8.3%

GSW +21.2%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	GSW	NBA	MIL	GSW	NBA
this game	17.4	15.2	15.6	97.7	106.7	104.4
season	16.0	15.0		103.9	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.0	15.4	17.5	20.0	17.4
GSW	14.3	16.6	12.5	17.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	33	33	0.22	-0.73	0.95	-0.13	12	-21	33	16.2	18.1	-1.91	17.2	14.0	3.23
Johnny Newman	52	52	0.19	-0.70	0.89	-0.19	13	-22	35	16.5	18.7	-2.23	15.6	14.6	0.91
David Wood	7	8	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.10	2	-11	13	19.0	17.2	1.77	19.5	14.8	4.75
Armen Gilliam	61	62	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.32	5	-14	19	17.2	17.8	-0.63	15.8	13.8	2.01
Andrew Lang	34	35	-0.29	-0.22	-0.07	0.06	-12	3	-15	17.9	17.1	0.83	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Glenn Robinson	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	4	-17	17.4	17.4	-0.09	14.3	18.5	-4.19
Vin Baker	80	79	-0.56	0.05	-0.61	-0.17	-13	4	-17	17.5	16.4	1.10	14.9	17.7	-2.84
Ray Allen	48	50	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.16	-18	9	-27	17.9	16.8	1.10	15.5	14.8	0.69
Sherman Douglas	55	56	-0.73	0.22	-0.95	-0.11	-21	12	-33	18.1	16.2	1.91	14.0	17.2	-3.23

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	29	30	0.59	-0.08	0.67	0.27	11	-2	13	16.0	14.8	1.22	19.4	16.3	3.02
Andrew DeClercq	32	32	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-2	13	15.8	14.8	1.04	19.7	16.1	3.63
Latrell Sprewell	85	84	0.54	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-1	11	15.1	17.7	-2.69	17.2	21.2	-4.06
Chris Mullin	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-1	11	14.8	16.7	-1.98	17.4	17.3	0.14
Joe Smith	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.19	5	4	1	15.2	14.9	0.37	16.7	20.5	-3.81
Todd Fuller	41	42	0.18	0.33	-0.14	-0.02	7	2	5	14.3	16.0	-1.69	17.5	17.2	0.28
B.J. Armstrong	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	10	-11	16.1	14.9	1.26	17.4	17.4	0.07
Felton Spencer	32	29	-0.05	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	14	-19	15.5	15.0	0.55	16.2	17.9	-1.69
Mark Price	52	52	-0.06	0.57	-0.63	-0.09	1	8	-7	14.5	16.1	-1.54	16.7	18.3	-1.62
Donald Royal	10	8	-0.07	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	13	-17	18.1	14.8	3.29	15.7	17.5	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.2%
SEA 102, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.7,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.78,0.98,1	93.1%
CHI 77, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.9%