NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	117		Excitement	11.8 [22]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +47.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	119		Comeback	10.5 [133]		LVP	Toney Douglas (HOU): -35.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.01	9	89%	0.56	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	18	60%	0.39	4	-0.25	12	92%	0.08
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	48%	0.08	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.05	-0.13	0.01	15	59%	0.05	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.03
Omer Asik	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.00	-0.20	0.00	11	59%	0.01	4	-0.21	5	80%	0.04
Toney Douglas	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.35	-0.03	-0.28	0.04	11	33%	-0.35	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.11,0.03,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.07	0.41	0.02	18	64%	0.56	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.09
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.38	0.38	0.13	0.26	0.01	19	62%	0.40	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.04
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	5	67%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.16	-0.24	0.03	19	81%	0.26	7	-0.37	5	80%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	18	37%	-0.13	2	-0.06	5	20%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	32.3	14.7	30.2	2.6	37.0	1.6	16.1	158.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +47.1%

HOU -0.8%

HOU -23.7%

POR +28.3%

HOU -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	16.5	15.4	113.6	116.7	104.1
season	14.2	15.8		107.9	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	12.1	11.4	17.7	15.4	22.4	14.6
POR	17.9	15.8	13.6	16.6	23.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	71	72	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-7	12	14.1	15.5	-1.36	16.2	17.2	-1.03
Greg Smith	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	0	-2	13.6	14.7	-1.11	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Cole Aldrich	4	3	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	6	-14	13.7	14.6	-0.85	8.3	16.7	-8.38
Marcus Morris	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	5	-12	15.6	13.4	2.26	16.7	16.2	0.52
Omer Asik	84	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-3	4	14.6	14.3	0.37	17.0	14.1	2.87
Chandler Parsons	91	90	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-4	6	14.6	14.5	0.07	16.8	14.1	2.71
Toney Douglas	42	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	4	-10	15.6	13.9	1.74	17.6	15.7	1.82
Patrick Patterson	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.56	5	-7	12	13.4	16.6	-3.17	16.0	17.4	-1.38
James Harden	86	85	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.58	0	-2	2	14.7	13.6	1.10	16.2	17.7	-1.48

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	50	52	1.18	-0.68	1.87	0.83	12	-10	22	15.7	17.2	-1.59	15.8	13.3	2.51
Damian Lillard	81	82	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-8	18	15.8	19.2	-3.43	15.3	11.5	3.82
Wesley Matthews	84	86	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	3	-4	16.7	15.4	1.31	14.2	16.3	-2.07
Nicolas Batum	83	84	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	-6	14	15.3	21.5	-6.15	14.2	16.0	-1.76
LaMarcus Aldridge	84	85	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.46	-9	11	-20	17.0	13.9	3.07	13.8	18.2	-4.37
Sasha Pavlovic	13	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	-1	4	16.8	16.4	0.34	18.4	14.1	4.25
Jared Jeffries	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.22	8	-6	14	13.7	17.1	-3.36	18.2	13.8	4.37
Victor Claver	18	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	11	-20	18.0	16.1	1.86	12.3	15.0	-2.70
Ronnie Price	21	21	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	10	-18	19.2	15.8	3.43	11.5	15.3	-3.82
JJ Hickson	51	51	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.17	-6	8	-14	17.4	15.5	1.84	13.3	15.8	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 78, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.15,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.83,1	89.0%
IND 122, PHX 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.43,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.73,1	88.9%
TOR 101, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.95,1	88.4%