NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	8.0 [250]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +65.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	211.8 [7]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -23.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.01	14	64%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.01	7	93%	0.24	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	15	55%	0.15	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Alan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	17	46%	0.07	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Quincy Acy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.06	-0.12	-0.02	10	40%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.24	-0.09	-0.19	-0.04	11	44%	-0.07	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.63,0.65	0.65	0.10	0.54	-0.01	23	61%	0.75	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	19	67%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	11	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	11	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	25.8	15.7	24.2	1.8	38.2	1.5	17.2	150.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.5%

TOR -4.6%

TOR -10.8%

PHI +22.9%

PHI +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	17.0	15.0	15.4	101.0	109.1	104.1
season	16.1	15.5		104.4	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		104.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	15.4	16.0	19.2	18.4	14.3	17.0
PHI	16.6	15.3	14.1	13.5	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	49	46	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.23	5	-12	17	16.9	17.1	-0.18	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Quincy Acy	26	27	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.01	11	-18	29	18.1	16.6	1.50	15.7	14.7	0.94
Ed Davis	76	75	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.38	-5	-2	-3	18.1	13.4	4.73	15.6	13.2	2.39
Alan Anderson	64	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-4	1	17.5	16.0	1.47	14.6	15.6	-0.95
Kyle Lowry	69	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-2	-3	17.0	16.8	0.19	14.4	16.1	-1.69
Landry Fields	27	27	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	4	-15	15.6	17.5	-1.84	14.7	15.1	-0.43
DeMar DeRozan	63	64	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.47	-10	3	-13	16.3	18.1	-1.81	15.1	14.7	0.41
Amir Johnson	90	88	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.39	-13	6	-19	16.6	20.3	-3.70	14.7	17.3	-2.58
Jose Calderon	38	40	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.57	-8	1	-9	15.1	18.1	-2.97	15.0	15.0	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	51	54	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.42	13	-6	19	15.9	14.0	1.94	16.2	17.8	-1.63
Nick Young	55	57	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-6	19	14.2	16.0	-1.80	16.9	17.0	-0.05
Jrue Holiday	86	86	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	0	7	14.8	15.8	-1.00	16.8	18.2	-1.45
Spencer Hawes	48	50	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	3	1	15.2	14.8	0.36	17.1	16.9	0.18
Thaddeus Young	83	85	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-1	9	15.2	14.0	1.17	16.8	17.7	-0.90
Lavoy Allen	58	56	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.16	7	0	7	14.9	15.1	-0.28	17.2	16.6	0.60
Evan Turner	71	71	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.33	11	-4	15	15.0	14.9	0.07	18.3	13.8	4.43
Damien Wilkins	23	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	13	-19	14.7	15.1	-0.37	16.2	17.2	-0.99
Royal Ivey	10	10	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	18	-29	14.7	15.0	-0.31	15.8	17.1	-1.30
Dorell Wright	10	10	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	18	-29	14.7	15.0	-0.31	15.8	17.1	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 134, HOU 138	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.04,0.5,0.85,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	90.5%
LAC 95, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.03,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.94,0.99,0.99,1	89.3%
SAC 110, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.69,1	89.3%