NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	7.1 [378]		MVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): +43.4%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	1249.0 [2]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): -18.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.04	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	50%	0.01
Darius Miles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Derek Strong	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	7	57%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	16	51%	0.08	4	-0.11	7	43%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	7	35%	-0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.05	16	44%	0.01	4	-0.12	7	14%	-0.09
Jeff McInnis	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	13	29%	-0.16	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.00	13	61%	0.43	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	11	77%	0.18	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	17	49%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	15	47%	-0.02	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	30.3	14.8	26.1	2.3	38.5	2.5	17.2	157.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +44.5%

LAC -2.9%

LAC -18.2%

TOR +24.4%

TOR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.5	95.0	103.0	100.9
season	16.1	15.8		99.5	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	16.4	16.1	16.7	17.0	11.6	16.0
TOR	15.7	16.6	15.3	15.1	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	45	45	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-11	13	16.5	15.5	0.97	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Derek Strong	42	42	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-12	15	17.1	15.2	1.96	16.0	15.4	0.58
Darius Miles	24	24	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.11	0	-9	9	14.2	16.5	-2.28	16.0	15.6	0.39
Keyon Dooling	19	20	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.07	1	-10	11	15.7	16.0	-0.30	14.5	16.0	-1.45
Brian Skinner	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-2	-5	17.6	14.7	2.86	17.3	14.3	3.01
Quentin Richardson	64	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-7	5	15.2	17.3	-2.03	15.8	15.4	0.38
Lamar Odom	83	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	1	-11	16.6	13.1	3.45	15.8	14.9	0.94
Sean Rooks	58	59	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	3	-15	15.2	17.1	-1.96	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Jeff McInnis	74	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.37	-10	1	-11	15.5	17.3	-1.74	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Eric Piatkowski	46	46	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.50	-10	1	-11	15.6	16.3	-0.69	14.3	16.8	-2.58

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	75	75	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.43	14	-5	19	15.0	17.7	-2.68	15.1	18.7	-3.60
Antonio Davis	93	92	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-1	11	15.6	16.4	-0.77	16.4	10.6	5.82
Mark Jackson	98	96	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	2	5	15.6	17.0	-1.38	16.0	14.7	1.28
Morris Peterson	23	24	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	7	-5	14.4	16.0	-1.59	14.5	16.5	-2.00
Kevin Willis	66	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	4	1	16.0	15.1	0.88	16.2	15.6	0.62
Corliss Williamson	73	70	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	4	1	15.9	15.0	0.92	16.5	14.7	1.83
Dell Curry	38	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	2	5	16.6	15.1	1.51	16.5	15.6	0.87
Michael Stewart	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	9	-9	15.9	15.6	0.21	20.0	15.7	4.32
Kornel David	32	32	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	14	-19	16.1	15.5	0.63	14.6	16.6	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.03,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.94,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	90.9%
PHI 99, ATL 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.1,0.17,0.54,0.61,0.92,1,1,1	90.7%
CHI 97, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.85,0.92,1	90.5%