NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	122		Excitement	11.5 [25]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +37.3%
Phoenix Suns	129		Comeback	13.7 [281]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -59.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.10	-0.03	12	81%	0.38	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	9	74%	0.15	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	18	59%	0.14	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Travis Diener	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	86%	0.09	1	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	15	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.59	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.42,-0.56,-0.49,-0.48,-0.64,-0.52,-0.59	-0.19	-0.40	0.01	26	33%	-0.52	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.09

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.15	0.24	0.01	18	66%	0.45	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	12	66%	0.33	3	-0.14	14	79%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.04	0.01	15	72%	0.16	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.14,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.02	17	59%	0.17	2	-0.16	12	83%	0.04
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	36%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	8	53%	-0.03	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	28.0	15.4	31.5	1.7	35.0	1.6	17.2	158.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.6%

PHX +32.5%

IND -15.2%

IND -16.5%

IND -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	14.2	15.4	108.9	115.2	105.7
season	13.8	13.8		104.5	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.2		106.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	10.7	14.4	15.3	18.6	11.4	14.2
PHX	16.4	12.7	12.8	15.0	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	60	60	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.22	-6	-1	-5	14.9	13.5	1.38	14.5	13.7	0.75
Danny Granger	77	77	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-11	15	14.6	13.3	1.31	14.8	12.8	2.01
Kareem Rush	58	56	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.28	10	-17	27	14.9	13.5	1.43	13.7	14.6	-0.84
Troy Murphy	63	62	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-2	-3	14.0	14.5	-0.51	13.0	15.6	-2.62
Travis Diener	34	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-1	-5	12.6	14.9	-2.33	12.7	14.7	-2.02
Jamaal Tinsley	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-6	5	14.9	12.6	2.33	14.7	12.7	2.02
Mike Dunleavy	92	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	14.1	14.8	-0.68	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Jeff Foster	49	50	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-5	3	14.5	14.0	0.51	15.6	13.0	2.62
Marquis Daniels	37	38	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.18	-17	10	-27	12.5	15.1	-2.62	13.2	14.7	-1.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	77	78	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.34	26	-19	45	13.2	16.3	-3.19	14.6	13.5	1.02
Raja Bell	92	91	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-3	13	14.2	13.7	0.49	14.1	15.0	-0.93
Boris Diaw	87	85	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	14.4	13.2	1.28	14.3	14.0	0.27
Shawn Marion	99	100	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	2	3	14.2	14.0	0.17	14.3	13.8	0.46
Brian Skinner	44	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	-10	27	14.4	14.0	0.39	13.0	15.0	-2.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	70	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.45	-10	17	-27	14.0	14.4	-0.39	15.0	13.0	2.06
Marcus Banks	41	41	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	9	-11	14.7	13.8	0.84	15.1	13.7	1.35
Steve Nash	52	53	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.03	-16	23	-39	14.5	13.8	0.72	13.2	15.2	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.43,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 117, POR 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	88.9%
SAC 78, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.15,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.83,1	88.7%
DAL 102, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.2,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.68,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	87.9%