NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	9.4 [93]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +22.6%
Houston Rockets	112		Comeback	8.3 [375]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -27.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	11	61%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Martin Muursepp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.04	0.00	6	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Stacey King	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
A.C. Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Pack	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sasha Danilovic	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.15	0.02	20	53%	0.02	5	-0.23	3	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28	-0.04	-0.25	-0.01	20	47%	-0.06	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.06	0.01	15	75%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	71%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.07	0.04	23	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.25	6	-0.29	5	60%	-0.06
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.29,-0.22,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	0.02	11	59%	-0.03	6	-0.17	7	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	25.2	16.7	25.0	1.7	31.2	1.5	14.5	144.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.5%

HOU +11.6%

DAL -0.2%

DAL -3.2%

DAL -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	17.3	14.1	15.6	100.0	110.9	104.4
season	15.9	15.5		99.1	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.7		103.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	14.6	16.6	18.2	23.2	12.5	17.3
HOU	14.2	14.0	13.1	13.9	16.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	27	28	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-19	28	19.5	16.5	3.03	14.8	13.8	1.05
Martin Muursepp	13	14	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-17	24	17.7	17.2	0.50	15.9	13.8	2.09
Stacey King	18	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	18.0	17.1	0.90	13.2	14.3	-1.11
Derek Harper	34	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-8	6	20.3	15.7	4.51	13.2	14.5	-1.36
Shawn Bradley	92	91	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-9	8	16.9	20.3	-3.38	14.3	11.7	2.62
Robert Pack	68	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	-2	-6	15.7	20.3	-4.51	14.3	13.6	0.75
A.C. Green	93	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.07	-15	5	-20	17.1	18.4	-1.30	14.2	13.0	1.19
Sasha Danilovic	81	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	6	-22	16.9	18.5	-1.54	13.9	14.8	-0.95
Michael Finley	84	81	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.19	-22	12	-34	17.1	17.9	-0.84	13.6	15.8	-2.17

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	92	94	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.25	18	-8	26	14.0	15.1	-1.15	17.2	18.4	-1.22
Charles Barkley	78	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-4	18	14.3	13.4	0.87	16.9	18.8	-1.96
Matt Maloney	83	83	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-7	24	14.1	13.7	0.41	17.7	15.2	2.51
Eddie Johnson	91	90	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-6	22	13.9	15.5	-1.60	17.8	13.1	4.73
Hakeem Olajuwon	87	87	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	1	8	14.0	14.4	-0.35	17.2	17.5	-0.33
Kevin Willis	37	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	13	-16	13.8	14.2	-0.48	18.3	16.7	1.58
Randy Livingston	6	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	15	-20	14.2	14.1	0.11	16.8	17.3	-0.45
Matt Bullard	10	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	16	-22	15.5	13.9	1.60	13.1	17.8	-4.73
Sedale Threatt	21	21	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.02	-10	20	-30	14.2	14.0	0.17	16.0	17.6	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.2,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.68,0.84,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 108, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.26,0.54,0.54,0.79,0.67,0.92,1	89.9%
MIN 119, LAL 130	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.08,0.06,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.89,0.97,1,1	89.2%
PHI 99, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.55,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.89,0.85,1	88.3%