inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 97 Excitement10.8 [42] MVPMichael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): +33.0%
Charlotte Bobcats 101 Comeback23.2 [48] LVPRamon Sessions (CHA): -28.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.240.060.180.001559%0.382-0.142100%0.05
O.J. Mayo0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.10.10-0.02-0.011269%0.132-0.038100%0.10
Elton Brand0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03-0.010.03-0.01756%0.072-0.044100%0.03
Dahntay Jones0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.02250%0.021-0.01683%0.01
Chris Kaman0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02550%0.051-0.042100%0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.03125%0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Brandan Wright-0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00744%0.011-0.04450%-0.02
Dominique Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.0300.0020%-0.02
Jae Crowder-0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Darren Collison-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.08-0.14-0.011450%-0.055-0.1600%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21-0.06-0.130.01944%-0.013-0.2000%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.330.330.190.140.001274%0.3300.001090%0.10
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.060.00750%0.112-0.0620%-0.12
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.002100%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Cory Higgins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Taylor0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.041040%0.042-0.0700%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Byron Mullens0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.010.00939%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.001434%-0.041-0.04425%-0.05
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.09,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15,-0.16-0.16-0.04-0.12-0.012250%-0.054-0.11875%0.05
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.07,-0.23,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.3,-0.28-0.28-0.14-0.140.001535%-0.064-0.22450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.32.428.515.427.01.735.91.619.3159.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -22.2%
DAL -5.5%
CHA +75.5%
DAL -1.9%
CHA +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALCHANBADALCHANBA
this game14.716.315.497.096.2104.1
season14.515.6104.399.9
opponent15.415.6109.8105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL16.115.614.514.110.914.7
CHA14.015.116.719.517.416.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dahntay Jones34330.23-0.730.96-0.1814-183215.514.21.3016.316.30.03
Rodrigue Beaubois22220.09-0.590.68-0.096-101614.614.7-0.1016.016.4-0.34
Brandan Wright41450.06-0.560.630.24-62-815.114.30.8116.216.4-0.24
Dominique Jones440.02-0.520.54-0.073-71019.014.54.5115.716.3-0.59
Elton Brand5053-0.19-0.310.110.13-117-1814.714.60.1015.417.2-1.85
Chris Kaman5052-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.529-132214.614.7-0.1017.215.41.85
Vince Carter5759-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.516-101615.114.10.9316.615.90.68
Troy Murphy5758-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.544-81214.514.9-0.3717.015.51.49
Jae Crowder3235-0.530.03-0.550.06-2016-3613.815.1-1.3114.117.4-3.34
O.J. Mayo7985-0.560.06-0.63-0.21-128-2014.216.3-2.0516.614.91.69
Darren Collison7479-0.610.11-0.72-0.23-139-2214.515.3-0.8116.416.00.42

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Byron Mullens79740.88-0.381.250.4116-122815.917.7-1.8314.315.6-1.28
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist83790.85-0.351.200.2919-153416.017.7-1.7314.316.2-1.92
Kemba Walker84780.78-0.281.060.3714-102416.216.7-0.4414.614.9-0.25
Brendan Haywood69640.72-0.220.930.2217-133016.416.10.3513.916.1-2.16
Ramon Sessions43430.54-0.040.590.5404-416.816.00.8113.315.7-2.44
DeSagana Diop15160.040.46-0.42-0.0840418.715.92.7416.014.41.58
Cory Higgins10-0.040.54-0.590.01-26-81.016.5-15.460.014.7-14.67
Reggie Williams55-0.050.55-0.590.07-48-1213.816.4-2.6416.014.61.40
Jeff Taylor6562-0.120.62-0.74-0.09-15-615.118.3-3.1715.113.91.21
Ben Gordon3635-0.330.83-1.150.03-1216-2818.815.03.8316.113.92.22
Tyrus Thomas2626-0.380.88-1.25-0.02-1216-2817.715.91.8315.614.31.28
Bismack Biyombo1918-0.400.90-1.300.16-1923-4215.716.4-0.7116.814.22.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 88, POR 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.73,190.1%
CHA 97, DAL 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.54,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,188.8%
PHX 91, POR 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.41,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.26,188.5%