NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	8.3 [201]		MVP	Brian Grant (POR): +23.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	9.1 [262]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -35.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	18	51%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Todd Day	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.18	1	-0.15	4	75%	0.05
Toby Bailey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Tom Gugliotta	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-0.02	18	32%	-0.09	4	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Jason Kidd	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	14	42%	-0.09	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	-0.30	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.3	-0.04	-0.28	-0.02	13	40%	-0.30	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.24	0.23	0.06	0.18	0.00	8	70%	0.24	0	0.00	14	64%	-0.03
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.13	0.00	7	62%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	10	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	8	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.03
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	14	64%	0.20	4	-0.29	8	62%	-0.03
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	13	23%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.21	-0.16	-0.01	9	33%	-0.10	6	-0.26	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	30.4	15.4	27.5	2.3	41.5	142.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +63.8%

POR +14.9%

POR +14.1%

PHX -37.3%

PHX -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	17.4	14.3	15.2	100.0	105.5	101.7
season	14.8	15.9		101.4	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.3		99.1	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	17.2	20.8	17.6	17.4
POR	15.5	12.8	16.1	13.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Longley	49	49	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.23	6	-11	17	17.3	17.4	-0.14	14.7	13.8	0.95
Randy Livingston	8	7	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-7	9	20.0	17.1	2.90	12.9	14.4	-1.56
Toby Bailey	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-5	5	15.0	17.5	-2.49	14.6	14.3	0.32
Rodney Rogers	37	35	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-7	9	17.6	17.2	0.45	15.8	13.3	2.49
Todd Day	58	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-13	21	17.9	16.3	1.60	13.8	15.1	-1.25
Jason Kidd	83	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	2	-9	17.1	20.0	-2.90	14.4	12.9	1.56
Rex Chapman	78	78	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	5	-15	17.1	18.8	-1.65	14.3	14.0	0.35
Tom Gugliotta	68	69	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.48	-10	5	-15	17.1	18.0	-0.93	13.5	16.8	-3.33
Clifford Robinson	69	70	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.31	-16	11	-27	17.4	17.1	0.34	14.3	14.2	0.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	43	43	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-2	9	13.0	15.4	-2.41	18.6	16.2	2.38
Greg Anthony	46	45	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-1	7	13.7	14.9	-1.17	18.8	16.0	2.82
Scottie Pippen	77	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-2	9	14.2	14.6	-0.41	16.3	22.4	-6.17
Brian Grant	72	72	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	1	3	14.9	12.0	2.90	17.4	17.2	0.24
Rasheed Wallace	56	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	10	-5	15	15.1	13.0	2.11	17.8	16.6	1.12
Detlef Schrempf	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	11	-17	13.1	15.9	-2.76	17.1	17.7	-0.64
Steven Smith	55	57	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	1	3	15.1	13.0	2.10	18.1	16.1	2.02
Damon Stoudamire	45	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	6	-7	14.9	13.7	1.17	16.0	18.8	-2.82
Jermaine O'Neal	9	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	11	-17	12.8	14.5	-1.69	13.7	17.7	-3.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.41,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, DEN 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.15,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.28,1	90.9%
SAS 90, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.34,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.21,0.16,0.26,1	90.5%
UTA 95, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.22,0.19,0.54,0.45,0.23,1	89.9%