NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	9.3 [90]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): +22.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	16.1 [133]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -48.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Renaldo Balkman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	10	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	6	82%	0.16	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Malik Rose	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	23	52%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	17	45%	0.01	5	-0.18	4	75%	-0.05
Jamal Crawford	-0.49	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.44,-0.49	-0.19	-0.30	-0.01	27	24%	-0.49	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.16	0.00	6	75%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.01	0.01	13	73%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.15	0.00	12	46%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.14	0.01	20	48%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.01	-0.18	0.01	15	50%	-0.09	1	-0.08	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.7	1.8	31.8	18.8	27.7	3.0	35.8	1.7	22.0	171.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.4%

POR +1.7%

NYK -27.0%

POR +31.5%

POR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	17.9	16.6	15.4	95.7	102.2	105.7
season	15.7	16.7		103.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		106.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	15.1	17.9	20.8	19.3	15.8	17.9
POR	16.8	18.1	18.0	15.0	14.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	26	26	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-13	20	16.5	18.5	-2.02	15.4	17.1	-1.72
Jared Jeffries	20	17	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.09	9	-15	24	17.2	18.1	-0.89	16.5	16.7	-0.18
Fred Jones	40	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-4	2	17.6	18.2	-0.52	17.0	16.3	0.76
Renaldo Balkman	54	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-7	8	18.0	17.8	0.22	16.6	16.6	-0.00
David Lee	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	2	-10	17.8	18.6	-0.83	16.9	15.7	1.18
Jamal Crawford	87	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	3	-12	18.0	16.4	1.63	16.8	13.6	3.19
Nate Robinson	77	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.21	-14	8	-22	18.0	17.5	0.49	16.5	17.7	-1.20
Zach Randolph	82	81	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.30	-14	8	-22	18.6	12.3	6.33	16.6	16.8	-0.23

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	68	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.13	29	-23	52	16.1	17.9	-1.80	19.3	14.1	5.23
Brandon Roy	82	82	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-7	20	16.9	14.5	2.38	17.9	18.1	-0.17
Joel Przybilla	43	40	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	6	-6	17.0	16.3	0.63	18.0	17.9	0.18
Steve Blake	63	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.19	22	-16	38	16.9	16.1	0.75	18.6	16.3	2.28
Travis Outlaw	54	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	5	-4	16.2	17.2	-1.05	17.2	19.0	-1.87
Jarrett Jack	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	10	-14	15.0	18.6	-3.59	17.1	19.0	-1.95
Martell Webster	49	49	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.16	7	-1	8	17.6	15.5	2.17	18.0	17.9	0.16
Sergio Rodriguez	10	10	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	13	-20	14.5	16.9	-2.38	18.1	17.9	0.17
James Jones	17	16	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.08	-13	19	-32	17.9	16.3	1.55	17.1	18.1	-1.07
Channing Frye	27	25	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.11	-18	24	-42	18.1	16.0	2.06	16.2	18.6	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.92,1	90.1%
SAC 78, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.15,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.83,1	89.5%
BOS 121, CHH 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.17,0.07,0.22,0.43,0.27,0.5,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.58,1	88.9%