NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	7.9 [224]		MVP	Alec Burks (UTA): +24.5%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	3.2 [490]		LVP	DeMarre Carroll (UTA): -20.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	12	57%	0.17	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Craig Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.02	13	71%	0.19	4	-0.18	2	0%	-0.05
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	14	55%	0.07	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Luke Babbitt	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	11	32%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	18	36%	-0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.10	-0.01	9	78%	0.29	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	9	59%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	52%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	2	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Ahearn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	9	17%	-0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	29.8	14.8	26.0	1.5	29.4	125.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -3.5%

UTA +4.7%

UTA +37.2%

UTA +12.6%

POR -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.6	103.3	104.3	102.8
season	15.7	15.8		104.1	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	18.9	14.8	12.3	15.5
UTA	13.9	14.7	14.6	21.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	12	13	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-7	12	19.5	14.8	4.65	13.8	16.4	-2.61
Kurt Thomas	49	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.26	7	-9	16	15.4	15.5	-0.16	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Joel Przybilla	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	5	-12	15.8	15.3	0.46	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Luke Babbitt	70	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	3	-8	15.4	15.8	-0.45	16.8	13.3	3.47
Nolan Smith	68	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-3	4	14.7	17.7	-3.05	16.0	16.1	-0.17
Jonny Flynn	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-6	10	15.7	14.8	0.92	16.4	15.1	1.33
Wesley Matthews	85	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	1	-4	15.5	15.5	-0.04	16.1	14.6	1.52
JJ Hickson	75	75	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.48	-12	10	-22	15.3	16.2	-0.96	15.7	17.5	-1.79

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	39	38	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.50	6	-4	10	16.6	15.6	1.05	15.9	15.1	0.79
Josh Howard	47	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	-5	12	16.3	15.8	0.50	16.9	14.1	2.76
Raja Bell	33	31	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-6	14	16.3	15.8	0.50	16.2	15.1	1.16
Jeremy Evans	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.48	-5	7	-12	16.6	15.2	1.35	15.2	15.8	-0.65
Enes Kanter	61	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	3	-4	17.6	12.8	4.83	15.8	14.7	1.10
Devin Harris	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	-5	12	13.9	16.7	-2.83	16.1	15.2	0.84
Al Jefferson	21	22	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-5	12	13.9	16.6	-2.79	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Gordon Hayward	15	16	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-4	10	14.3	16.4	-2.08	14.2	15.7	-1.47
Derrick Favors	49	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-1	4	14.3	18.0	-3.69	15.4	15.5	-0.09
DeMarre Carroll	46	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	6	-10	15.8	16.3	-0.50	14.3	16.7	-2.49
Alec Burks	43	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.34	-13	15	-28	16.4	15.7	0.68	15.2	15.7	-0.45
Blake Ahearn	29	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	13	-24	16.9	15.6	1.34	14.3	16.0	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.94,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 84, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.62,0.89,0.77,0.96,1	93.0%
CHH 87, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.9,1,1	92.4%
GSW 106, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.84,1	92.2%