NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	84		Excitement	7.4 [188]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): +14.2%
Phoenix Suns	89		Comeback	3.0 [434]		LVP	DeJuan Wheat (VAN): -14.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Pete Chilcutt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Massenburg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Cherokee Parks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	21	48%	0.04	2	-0.08	12	83%	0.10
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	0.03	12	46%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Henderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	6	29%	-0.10	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	13	61%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.12	-0.00	7	43%	0.16	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.12	-0.00	8	50%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Gerald Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	48%	-0.00	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	10	57%	-0.04	3	-0.10	22	50%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	25.2	14.8	26.2	2.4	43.4	138.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.2%

VAN -6.1%

PHX +5.9%

PHX +10.9%

VAN -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	PHX	NBA	VAN	PHX	NBA
this game	17.2	14.6	15.8	92.3	98.9	99.6
season	16.4	15.3		95.7	102.7
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.3	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	20.1	17.3	17.7	14.5	17.2
PHX	15.1	17.0	13.4	13.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Wheat	26	26	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.03	12	-17	29	14.1	18.5	-4.36	13.4	15.0	-1.62
Cherokee Parks	45	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-3	1	18.1	16.4	1.70	14.2	14.9	-0.64
Pete Chilcutt	56	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.42	8	-13	21	16.8	18.0	-1.20	15.1	13.7	1.38
Felipe Lopez	59	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-1	-3	17.9	16.0	1.85	13.7	16.2	-2.55
J.R. Henderson	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-4	3	16.4	18.0	-1.62	16.4	13.0	3.43
Tony Massenburg	35	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	8	-21	18.0	16.8	1.20	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Michael Smith	41	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	0	-5	17.7	16.8	0.87	16.2	13.2	3.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	17.2	17.4	-0.19	14.3	17.0	-2.72
Mike Bibby	70	68	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.44	-15	10	-25	17.6	16.1	1.41	14.2	15.6	-1.40

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	64	64	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.46	12	-7	19	13.6	17.0	-3.35	17.5	16.6	0.91
Luc Longley	44	44	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	14.0	15.2	-1.17	18.5	16.1	2.37
Clifford Robinson	70	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	1	3	13.7	17.6	-3.95	16.8	18.6	-1.82
Jason Kidd	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	1	3	13.7	18.3	-4.62	16.9	18.6	-1.70
George McCloud	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	4	-3	14.9	14.3	0.62	15.4	19.2	-3.80
Joe Kleine	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	4	-3	17.1	13.7	3.42	18.8	16.7	2.18
Gerald Brown	18	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	4	-3	18.3	13.7	4.62	18.6	16.9	1.70
Rex Chapman	69	69	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	13.7	17.4	-3.72	17.0	18.0	-0.95
Toby Bailey	15	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	6	-7	18.4	13.8	4.59	16.5	17.4	-0.89
Danny Manning	27	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.09	-5	10	-15	17.5	13.3	4.15	18.4	16.7	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.62,0.89,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.94,0.83,1	93.0%
CHH 87, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.9,1,1	92.5%
IND 100, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.66,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.85,0.96,1	91.7%