NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	83		Excitement	8.4 [148]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (NOH): +55.5%
Golden State Warriors	81		Comeback	15.5 [81]		LVP	Charles Jenkins (GSW): -39.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.56	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.56	0.16	0.40	0.01	14	74%	0.58	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gustavo Ayon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Carl Landry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Greivis Vasquez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.01	12	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Xavier Henry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Darryl Watkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	4	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.09
Jerome Dyson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	5	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	42%	0.02	4	-0.14	3	67%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	9	83%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	12	64%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Chris Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	45%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Mickell Gladness	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.11	0.02	6	67%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	17	33%	-0.10	1	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.39	-0.39	-0.17	-0.24	-0.02	16	29%	-0.27	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	29.1	14.7	23.0	2.7	30.0	127.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +53.0%

GSW -5.1%

GSW -11.2%

NOH +5.7%

NOH +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	16.8	16.9	15.6	97.6	94.2	102.8
season	16.3	15.2		99.2	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.0	18.9	16.2	18.7	16.8
GSW	16.0	17.1	16.5	18.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	53	54	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.48	16	-14	30	15.3	19.2	-3.90	17.1	16.6	0.53
Gustavo Ayon	54	55	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.52	14	-12	26	15.5	19.0	-3.43	17.1	16.5	0.69
Marco Belinelli	63	63	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.71	5	-3	8	16.2	18.5	-2.25	17.2	16.1	1.10
Carl Landry	45	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	18.0	15.4	2.62	16.8	17.0	-0.25
Jerome Dyson	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.42	-8	10	-18	18.6	15.1	3.52	17.4	16.4	1.04
Xavier Henry	13	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	5	-8	15.3	17.1	-1.75	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	65	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	5	-8	16.5	17.7	-1.23	16.4	18.3	-1.84
Darryl Watkins	31	31	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.00	-12	14	-26	19.0	15.5	3.43	16.5	17.1	-0.69
Lance Thomas	61	62	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.24	-4	6	-10	17.2	15.8	1.33	16.7	17.4	-0.67

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Tyler	71	70	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.27	6	-8	14	16.7	18.0	-1.34	17.2	15.1	2.09
Brandon Rush	30	31	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-4	6	15.1	17.9	-2.81	18.1	16.0	2.11
Klay Thompson	50	50	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.09	7	-9	16	16.7	17.2	-0.51	15.8	18.1	-2.30
Dominic McGuire	29	29	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-3	4	17.7	16.5	1.20	18.3	16.0	2.26
Chris Wright	46	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	17.2	16.6	0.55	18.1	15.3	2.76
Mikki Moore	34	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	1	-4	16.9	16.9	0.03	17.6	16.2	1.38
Charles Jenkins	76	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	10	-22	16.9	17.0	-0.12	16.6	18.4	-1.83
Mickell Gladness	54	53	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.52	-9	7	-16	17.1	16.5	0.63	16.2	17.8	-1.69
Richard Jefferson	40	38	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.76	-1	-1	0	17.8	16.1	1.64	14.2	18.9	-4.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.72,0	90.4%
PHX 104, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0	90.3%
NOH 87, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.42,0	90.1%